Climate change impacts on regional maize yields and possible adaptation measures in Argentina

In this work, the impact of future climate (2081-2090) on regional maize yields was assessed through a crop simulation model. The climatic inputs correspond to the regional model MM5/CIMA, considering grids of 50 km * 50 km. Crop model runs were done under typical crop management conditions with and...

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Autores principales: Travasso, M., Magrin, G.O., Rodriguez, G.R., Solman, S., Nunez, M.
Formato: JOUR
Materias:
CO2
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_17582083_v1_n1-3_p201_Travasso
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spelling todo:paper_17582083_v1_n1-3_p201_Travasso2023-10-03T16:32:44Z Climate change impacts on regional maize yields and possible adaptation measures in Argentina Travasso, M. Magrin, G.O. Rodriguez, G.R. Solman, S. Nunez, M. climate change CO2 maize simulation In this work, the impact of future climate (2081-2090) on regional maize yields was assessed through a crop simulation model. The climatic inputs correspond to the regional model MM5/CIMA, considering grids of 50 km * 50 km. Crop model runs were done under typical crop management conditions with and without considering the fertilisation effect of CO2. Without CO2 effects, the impact of future scenarios will be negative in most of the region, attaining mean reductions of 9% and 6% under SRES A2 and B2, respectively. However, yield changes could range between increases of 46% under B2 and decreases of 17% under A2. The inclusion of CO2 effects led to increases in maize yields by 19% under A2 and 11% under B2, although negative impacts could still occur. The adaptation measures related to planting dates and irrigation were assessed as a way to overcome future negative impacts. Without considering CO2, advancing sowings by 15-30 days could be beneficial, increasing yields under B2 and reducing loses under A2. Irrigation requirements could, on average, increase in the central and northern parts of the region and decrease in the southern one. The uncertainties related to future scenarios and the crop responses to CO2 are also discussed. © 2009 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd. JOUR info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_17582083_v1_n1-3_p201_Travasso
institution Universidad de Buenos Aires
institution_str I-28
repository_str R-134
collection Biblioteca Digital - Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales (UBA)
topic climate change
CO2
maize
simulation
spellingShingle climate change
CO2
maize
simulation
Travasso, M.
Magrin, G.O.
Rodriguez, G.R.
Solman, S.
Nunez, M.
Climate change impacts on regional maize yields and possible adaptation measures in Argentina
topic_facet climate change
CO2
maize
simulation
description In this work, the impact of future climate (2081-2090) on regional maize yields was assessed through a crop simulation model. The climatic inputs correspond to the regional model MM5/CIMA, considering grids of 50 km * 50 km. Crop model runs were done under typical crop management conditions with and without considering the fertilisation effect of CO2. Without CO2 effects, the impact of future scenarios will be negative in most of the region, attaining mean reductions of 9% and 6% under SRES A2 and B2, respectively. However, yield changes could range between increases of 46% under B2 and decreases of 17% under A2. The inclusion of CO2 effects led to increases in maize yields by 19% under A2 and 11% under B2, although negative impacts could still occur. The adaptation measures related to planting dates and irrigation were assessed as a way to overcome future negative impacts. Without considering CO2, advancing sowings by 15-30 days could be beneficial, increasing yields under B2 and reducing loses under A2. Irrigation requirements could, on average, increase in the central and northern parts of the region and decrease in the southern one. The uncertainties related to future scenarios and the crop responses to CO2 are also discussed. © 2009 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.
format JOUR
author Travasso, M.
Magrin, G.O.
Rodriguez, G.R.
Solman, S.
Nunez, M.
author_facet Travasso, M.
Magrin, G.O.
Rodriguez, G.R.
Solman, S.
Nunez, M.
author_sort Travasso, M.
title Climate change impacts on regional maize yields and possible adaptation measures in Argentina
title_short Climate change impacts on regional maize yields and possible adaptation measures in Argentina
title_full Climate change impacts on regional maize yields and possible adaptation measures in Argentina
title_fullStr Climate change impacts on regional maize yields and possible adaptation measures in Argentina
title_full_unstemmed Climate change impacts on regional maize yields and possible adaptation measures in Argentina
title_sort climate change impacts on regional maize yields and possible adaptation measures in argentina
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_17582083_v1_n1-3_p201_Travasso
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AT rodriguezgr climatechangeimpactsonregionalmaizeyieldsandpossibleadaptationmeasuresinargentina
AT solmans climatechangeimpactsonregionalmaizeyieldsandpossibleadaptationmeasuresinargentina
AT nunezm climatechangeimpactsonregionalmaizeyieldsandpossibleadaptationmeasuresinargentina
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