Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
Hydrological modelling with climate scenario data are used to develop projections of changes in frequency and duration of flood events in the margins of the lower sections of the Paraná and Uruguay Rivers in La Plata Basin for the twenty-first century. Discharges were simulated with the Variable Inf...
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| Acceso en línea: | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_15715124_v_n_p_Camilloni |
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todo:paper_15715124_v_n_p_Camilloni2023-10-03T16:27:18Z Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios Camilloni, I.A. Saurral, R.I. Montroull, N.B. Climate change flooding future scenarios Paraná River Uruguay River Hydrological modelling with climate scenario data are used to develop projections of changes in frequency and duration of flood events in the margins of the lower sections of the Paraná and Uruguay Rivers in La Plata Basin for the twenty-first century. Discharges were simulated with the Variable Infiltration Capacity hydrologic model considering the statistically bias corrected daily maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall outputs from five regional climate models and different emission scenarios. Results show that although it is expected that compared to the current conditions the temperature would rise and precipitation would have a slight increase in La Plata Basin during the present century, more frequent and lasting fluvial flooding events in the lower Paraná and Uruguay basins could be expected. However, the range of results derived from different climate models though consistent in sign, indicate that the uncertainty is large. © 2013 Copyright International Association for Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research. Fil:Camilloni, I.A. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:Saurral, R.I. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:Montroull, N.B. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. INPR English info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_15715124_v_n_p_Camilloni |
| institution |
Universidad de Buenos Aires |
| institution_str |
I-28 |
| repository_str |
R-134 |
| collection |
Biblioteca Digital - Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales (UBA) |
| language |
English |
| orig_language_str_mv |
English |
| topic |
Climate change flooding future scenarios Paraná River Uruguay River |
| spellingShingle |
Climate change flooding future scenarios Paraná River Uruguay River Camilloni, I.A. Saurral, R.I. Montroull, N.B. Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios |
| topic_facet |
Climate change flooding future scenarios Paraná River Uruguay River |
| description |
Hydrological modelling with climate scenario data are used to develop projections of changes in frequency and duration of flood events in the margins of the lower sections of the Paraná and Uruguay Rivers in La Plata Basin for the twenty-first century. Discharges were simulated with the Variable Infiltration Capacity hydrologic model considering the statistically bias corrected daily maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall outputs from five regional climate models and different emission scenarios. Results show that although it is expected that compared to the current conditions the temperature would rise and precipitation would have a slight increase in La Plata Basin during the present century, more frequent and lasting fluvial flooding events in the lower Paraná and Uruguay basins could be expected. However, the range of results derived from different climate models though consistent in sign, indicate that the uncertainty is large. © 2013 Copyright International Association for Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research. |
| format |
INPR |
| author |
Camilloni, I.A. Saurral, R.I. Montroull, N.B. |
| author_facet |
Camilloni, I.A. Saurral, R.I. Montroull, N.B. |
| author_sort |
Camilloni, I.A. |
| title |
Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios |
| title_short |
Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios |
| title_full |
Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios |
| title_fullStr |
Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios |
| title_sort |
hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the uruguay and paraná basins under different climate change scenarios |
| url |
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_15715124_v_n_p_Camilloni |
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