Spatial and temporal analysis of the distribution of hantavirus pulmonary syndrome in Buenos Aires Province, and its relation to rodent distribution, agricultural and demographic variables

We studied the spatial and temporal distribution of Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS) cases from 1998 to 2001 in the Buenos Aires Province, Argentina. HPS is a severe viral disease whose natural reservoir are rodents of the subfamily Sigmodontinae (Muridae) and which occurs in many countries of So...

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Autores principales: Busch, M., Cavia, R., Carbajo, A.E., Bellomo, C., Gonzalez Capria, S., Padula, P.
Formato: Artículo publishedVersion
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2004
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Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_13602276_v9_n4_p508_Busch
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spelling paperaa:paper_13602276_v9_n4_p508_Busch2023-06-12T16:49:52Z Spatial and temporal analysis of the distribution of hantavirus pulmonary syndrome in Buenos Aires Province, and its relation to rodent distribution, agricultural and demographic variables Trop. Med. Int. Health 2004;9(4):508-519 Busch, M. Cavia, R. Carbajo, A.E. Bellomo, C. Gonzalez Capria, S. Padula, P. Agriculture Demography Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome Rodents Spatial distribution Temporal distribution disease prevalence risk factor rodent spatiotemporal analysis viral disease animal cell Argentina article cluster analysis controlled study correlation analysis demography disease severity ecology environmental factor epidemic evapotranspiration Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome human major clinical study nonhuman North America oxymycterus rufus population research probability reservoir rodent seasonal variation South America spatial autocorrelation analysis virus infection virus transmission Agriculture Animals Argentina Disease Vectors Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome Humans Risk Factors Rodentia Seasons Space-Time Clustering Argentina Buenos Aires [Argentina] South America Animalia Hantavirus Muridae Oxymycterus Oxymycterus rufus Rodentia Sigmodontinae We studied the spatial and temporal distribution of Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS) cases from 1998 to 2001 in the Buenos Aires Province, Argentina. HPS is a severe viral disease whose natural reservoir are rodents of the subfamily Sigmodontinae (Muridae) and which occurs in many countries of South and North America. We considered two spatial arrangements: cells of 18.5 x 18.5 km2; and departments, the political subdivisions of the province, as spatial units. We tested the departure from a Poisson distribution of the number of cases per cell and per month with the Variance/Mean index, while the interaction between spatial and temporal clustering was tested by means of the Knox and Mantel tests. We constructed probability maps in which the HPS rates per department were considered Poisson variates according to population, area and the product of population and area. We analysed the relation between rodent distribution, environmental and demographic variables and HPS cases conducting preliminary univariate analysis from which we selected variables to enter in general linearized models. We found that both the spatial and temporal distribution of cases is strongly aggregated. The spatiotemporal interaction appears to be related to a strong seasonality and the existence of particular ecological conditions rather than epidemic transmission of the disease. The main explanatory variables for the distribution of HPS cases among the departments of the Buenos Aires Province were human population, the distribution of the rodent Oxymycterus rufus and evapotranspiration. The last two variables are probably indicators of favourable ecological conditions for the reservoirs, which encompass other variables not taken into account in this study. Fil:Busch, M. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:Cavia, R. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:Carbajo, A.E. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:Padula, P. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. 2004 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion application/pdf eng info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_13602276_v9_n4_p508_Busch
institution Universidad de Buenos Aires
institution_str I-28
repository_str R-134
collection Biblioteca Digital - Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales (UBA)
language Inglés
orig_language_str_mv eng
topic Agriculture
Demography
Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome
Rodents
Spatial distribution
Temporal distribution
disease prevalence
risk factor
rodent
spatiotemporal analysis
viral disease
animal cell
Argentina
article
cluster analysis
controlled study
correlation analysis
demography
disease severity
ecology
environmental factor
epidemic
evapotranspiration
Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome
human
major clinical study
nonhuman
North America
oxymycterus rufus
population research
probability
reservoir
rodent
seasonal variation
South America
spatial autocorrelation analysis
virus infection
virus transmission
Agriculture
Animals
Argentina
Disease Vectors
Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome
Humans
Risk Factors
Rodentia
Seasons
Space-Time Clustering
Argentina
Buenos Aires [Argentina]
South America
Animalia
Hantavirus
Muridae
Oxymycterus
Oxymycterus rufus
Rodentia
Sigmodontinae
spellingShingle Agriculture
Demography
Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome
Rodents
Spatial distribution
Temporal distribution
disease prevalence
risk factor
rodent
spatiotemporal analysis
viral disease
animal cell
Argentina
article
cluster analysis
controlled study
correlation analysis
demography
disease severity
ecology
environmental factor
epidemic
evapotranspiration
Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome
human
major clinical study
nonhuman
North America
oxymycterus rufus
population research
probability
reservoir
rodent
seasonal variation
South America
spatial autocorrelation analysis
virus infection
virus transmission
Agriculture
Animals
Argentina
Disease Vectors
Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome
Humans
Risk Factors
Rodentia
Seasons
Space-Time Clustering
Argentina
Buenos Aires [Argentina]
South America
Animalia
Hantavirus
Muridae
Oxymycterus
Oxymycterus rufus
Rodentia
Sigmodontinae
Busch, M.
Cavia, R.
Carbajo, A.E.
Bellomo, C.
Gonzalez Capria, S.
Padula, P.
Spatial and temporal analysis of the distribution of hantavirus pulmonary syndrome in Buenos Aires Province, and its relation to rodent distribution, agricultural and demographic variables
topic_facet Agriculture
Demography
Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome
Rodents
Spatial distribution
Temporal distribution
disease prevalence
risk factor
rodent
spatiotemporal analysis
viral disease
animal cell
Argentina
article
cluster analysis
controlled study
correlation analysis
demography
disease severity
ecology
environmental factor
epidemic
evapotranspiration
Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome
human
major clinical study
nonhuman
North America
oxymycterus rufus
population research
probability
reservoir
rodent
seasonal variation
South America
spatial autocorrelation analysis
virus infection
virus transmission
Agriculture
Animals
Argentina
Disease Vectors
Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome
Humans
Risk Factors
Rodentia
Seasons
Space-Time Clustering
Argentina
Buenos Aires [Argentina]
South America
Animalia
Hantavirus
Muridae
Oxymycterus
Oxymycterus rufus
Rodentia
Sigmodontinae
description We studied the spatial and temporal distribution of Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS) cases from 1998 to 2001 in the Buenos Aires Province, Argentina. HPS is a severe viral disease whose natural reservoir are rodents of the subfamily Sigmodontinae (Muridae) and which occurs in many countries of South and North America. We considered two spatial arrangements: cells of 18.5 x 18.5 km2; and departments, the political subdivisions of the province, as spatial units. We tested the departure from a Poisson distribution of the number of cases per cell and per month with the Variance/Mean index, while the interaction between spatial and temporal clustering was tested by means of the Knox and Mantel tests. We constructed probability maps in which the HPS rates per department were considered Poisson variates according to population, area and the product of population and area. We analysed the relation between rodent distribution, environmental and demographic variables and HPS cases conducting preliminary univariate analysis from which we selected variables to enter in general linearized models. We found that both the spatial and temporal distribution of cases is strongly aggregated. The spatiotemporal interaction appears to be related to a strong seasonality and the existence of particular ecological conditions rather than epidemic transmission of the disease. The main explanatory variables for the distribution of HPS cases among the departments of the Buenos Aires Province were human population, the distribution of the rodent Oxymycterus rufus and evapotranspiration. The last two variables are probably indicators of favourable ecological conditions for the reservoirs, which encompass other variables not taken into account in this study.
format Artículo
Artículo
publishedVersion
author Busch, M.
Cavia, R.
Carbajo, A.E.
Bellomo, C.
Gonzalez Capria, S.
Padula, P.
author_facet Busch, M.
Cavia, R.
Carbajo, A.E.
Bellomo, C.
Gonzalez Capria, S.
Padula, P.
author_sort Busch, M.
title Spatial and temporal analysis of the distribution of hantavirus pulmonary syndrome in Buenos Aires Province, and its relation to rodent distribution, agricultural and demographic variables
title_short Spatial and temporal analysis of the distribution of hantavirus pulmonary syndrome in Buenos Aires Province, and its relation to rodent distribution, agricultural and demographic variables
title_full Spatial and temporal analysis of the distribution of hantavirus pulmonary syndrome in Buenos Aires Province, and its relation to rodent distribution, agricultural and demographic variables
title_fullStr Spatial and temporal analysis of the distribution of hantavirus pulmonary syndrome in Buenos Aires Province, and its relation to rodent distribution, agricultural and demographic variables
title_full_unstemmed Spatial and temporal analysis of the distribution of hantavirus pulmonary syndrome in Buenos Aires Province, and its relation to rodent distribution, agricultural and demographic variables
title_sort spatial and temporal analysis of the distribution of hantavirus pulmonary syndrome in buenos aires province, and its relation to rodent distribution, agricultural and demographic variables
publishDate 2004
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_13602276_v9_n4_p508_Busch
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