Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios

Hydrological modelling with climate scenario data are used to develop projections of changes in frequency and duration of flood events in the margins of the lower sections of the Paraná and Uruguay Rivers in La Plata Basin for the twenty-first century. Discharges were simulated with the Variable Inf...

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Autores principales: Camilloni, Ines Angela, Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio, Montroull, Natalia Blanca
Publicado: 2013
Materias:
Climate change
flooding
future scenarios
Paraná River
Uruguay River
Acceso en línea:https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_15715124_v_n_p_Camilloni
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_15715124_v_n_p_Camilloni
Aporte de:
Biblioteca Digital - Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales (UBA) de Universidad de Buenos Aires
id paper:paper_15715124_v_n_p_Camilloni
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spelling paper:paper_15715124_v_n_p_Camilloni2025-07-30T19:00:15Z Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios Camilloni, Ines Angela Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio Montroull, Natalia Blanca Climate change flooding future scenarios Paraná River Uruguay River Hydrological modelling with climate scenario data are used to develop projections of changes in frequency and duration of flood events in the margins of the lower sections of the Paraná and Uruguay Rivers in La Plata Basin for the twenty-first century. Discharges were simulated with the Variable Infiltration Capacity hydrologic model considering the statistically bias corrected daily maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall outputs from five regional climate models and different emission scenarios. Results show that although it is expected that compared to the current conditions the temperature would rise and precipitation would have a slight increase in La Plata Basin during the present century, more frequent and lasting fluvial flooding events in the lower Paraná and Uruguay basins could be expected. However, the range of results derived from different climate models though consistent in sign, indicate that the uncertainty is large. © 2013 Copyright International Association for Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research. Fil:Camilloni, I.A. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:Saurral, R.I. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:Montroull, N.B. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. 2013 https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_15715124_v_n_p_Camilloni http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_15715124_v_n_p_Camilloni
institution Universidad de Buenos Aires
institution_str I-28
repository_str R-134
collection Biblioteca Digital - Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales (UBA)
topic Climate change
flooding
future scenarios
Paraná River
Uruguay River
spellingShingle Climate change
flooding
future scenarios
Paraná River
Uruguay River
Camilloni, Ines Angela
Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio
Montroull, Natalia Blanca
Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
topic_facet Climate change
flooding
future scenarios
Paraná River
Uruguay River
description Hydrological modelling with climate scenario data are used to develop projections of changes in frequency and duration of flood events in the margins of the lower sections of the Paraná and Uruguay Rivers in La Plata Basin for the twenty-first century. Discharges were simulated with the Variable Infiltration Capacity hydrologic model considering the statistically bias corrected daily maximum and minimum temperatures and rainfall outputs from five regional climate models and different emission scenarios. Results show that although it is expected that compared to the current conditions the temperature would rise and precipitation would have a slight increase in La Plata Basin during the present century, more frequent and lasting fluvial flooding events in the lower Paraná and Uruguay basins could be expected. However, the range of results derived from different climate models though consistent in sign, indicate that the uncertainty is large. © 2013 Copyright International Association for Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research.
author Camilloni, Ines Angela
Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio
Montroull, Natalia Blanca
author_facet Camilloni, Ines Angela
Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio
Montroull, Natalia Blanca
author_sort Camilloni, Ines Angela
title Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
title_short Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
title_full Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
title_fullStr Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
title_full_unstemmed Hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the Uruguay and Paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
title_sort hydrological projections of fluvial floods in the uruguay and paraná basins under different climate change scenarios
publishDate 2013
url https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_15715124_v_n_p_Camilloni
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_15715124_v_n_p_Camilloni
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AT saurralramiroignacio hydrologicalprojectionsoffluvialfloodsintheuruguayandparanabasinsunderdifferentclimatechangescenarios
AT montroullnataliablanca hydrologicalprojectionsoffluvialfloodsintheuruguayandparanabasinsunderdifferentclimatechangescenarios
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