South American precipitation changes simulated by PMIP3/CMIP5 models during the Little Ice Age and the recent global warming period
Large climate variations have been detected from paleoclimatic records in some regions of South America during the last 500 years. Among them, the Altiplano and the subtropical Andes regions exhibited wetter-than-normal conditions during the 17th century within the paleoclimatic period known as Litt...
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2018
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| Acceso en línea: | https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_08998418_v38_n6_p2638_Diaz http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_08998418_v38_n6_p2638_Diaz |
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paper:paper_08998418_v38_n6_p2638_Diaz2023-06-08T15:49:49Z South American precipitation changes simulated by PMIP3/CMIP5 models during the Little Ice Age and the recent global warming period Altiplano paleoclimatic records PMIP3/CMIP5 models subtropical Andes Glacial geology Global warming Rain Tropics Altiplano Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Large-scale circulation Paleoclimate modelling Paleoclimatic record Precipitation change Southern Annular Mode Subtropical Andes Climate models climate modeling climate variation CMIP global warming Little Ice Age paleoclimate precipitation (climatology) rainfall Altiplano Andes Large climate variations have been detected from paleoclimatic records in some regions of South America during the last 500 years. Among them, the Altiplano and the subtropical Andes regions exhibited wetter-than-normal conditions during the 17th century within the paleoclimatic period known as Little Ice Age (LIA). On the other hand, both regions experienced drier-than-normal conditions in the second part of the 20th century in association with the recent global warming period (GWP). This study provides an assessment of the ability of four models of the third phase of the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP3)/fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) experiments in reproducing those regional rainfall changes and the associated large-scale circulation features. Climate models can represent qualitatively the temperature changes observed in South America in both periods, LIA and GWP, as compared to the control run, but they do not properly describe the associated precipitation changes. However, they can simulate, in some extent, the large-scale circulation changes that previous works identified as important in driving the precipitation changes in both regions. Therefore, the assessment allows to detect the following changes in LIA (GWP): (a) equatorwards (polewards) displacement of the southern branch of the Hadley cell, in turn associated with wetter (drier) conditions in subtropical south America; (b) negative (positive) upper-level zonal wind changes related with positive (negative) December, January and February (DJF) rainfall changes in the Altiplano; and (c) positive (negative) low-level zonal wind changes associated to positive (negative) JJA rainfall changes in the subtropical Andes, being in turn related to hemispheric wind changes resembling a negative (positive) phase of the southern annular mode. © 2018 Royal Meteorological Society 2018 https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_08998418_v38_n6_p2638_Diaz http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_08998418_v38_n6_p2638_Diaz |
| institution |
Universidad de Buenos Aires |
| institution_str |
I-28 |
| repository_str |
R-134 |
| collection |
Biblioteca Digital - Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales (UBA) |
| topic |
Altiplano paleoclimatic records PMIP3/CMIP5 models subtropical Andes Glacial geology Global warming Rain Tropics Altiplano Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Large-scale circulation Paleoclimate modelling Paleoclimatic record Precipitation change Southern Annular Mode Subtropical Andes Climate models climate modeling climate variation CMIP global warming Little Ice Age paleoclimate precipitation (climatology) rainfall Altiplano Andes |
| spellingShingle |
Altiplano paleoclimatic records PMIP3/CMIP5 models subtropical Andes Glacial geology Global warming Rain Tropics Altiplano Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Large-scale circulation Paleoclimate modelling Paleoclimatic record Precipitation change Southern Annular Mode Subtropical Andes Climate models climate modeling climate variation CMIP global warming Little Ice Age paleoclimate precipitation (climatology) rainfall Altiplano Andes South American precipitation changes simulated by PMIP3/CMIP5 models during the Little Ice Age and the recent global warming period |
| topic_facet |
Altiplano paleoclimatic records PMIP3/CMIP5 models subtropical Andes Glacial geology Global warming Rain Tropics Altiplano Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Large-scale circulation Paleoclimate modelling Paleoclimatic record Precipitation change Southern Annular Mode Subtropical Andes Climate models climate modeling climate variation CMIP global warming Little Ice Age paleoclimate precipitation (climatology) rainfall Altiplano Andes |
| description |
Large climate variations have been detected from paleoclimatic records in some regions of South America during the last 500 years. Among them, the Altiplano and the subtropical Andes regions exhibited wetter-than-normal conditions during the 17th century within the paleoclimatic period known as Little Ice Age (LIA). On the other hand, both regions experienced drier-than-normal conditions in the second part of the 20th century in association with the recent global warming period (GWP). This study provides an assessment of the ability of four models of the third phase of the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP3)/fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) experiments in reproducing those regional rainfall changes and the associated large-scale circulation features. Climate models can represent qualitatively the temperature changes observed in South America in both periods, LIA and GWP, as compared to the control run, but they do not properly describe the associated precipitation changes. However, they can simulate, in some extent, the large-scale circulation changes that previous works identified as important in driving the precipitation changes in both regions. Therefore, the assessment allows to detect the following changes in LIA (GWP): (a) equatorwards (polewards) displacement of the southern branch of the Hadley cell, in turn associated with wetter (drier) conditions in subtropical south America; (b) negative (positive) upper-level zonal wind changes related with positive (negative) December, January and February (DJF) rainfall changes in the Altiplano; and (c) positive (negative) low-level zonal wind changes associated to positive (negative) JJA rainfall changes in the subtropical Andes, being in turn related to hemispheric wind changes resembling a negative (positive) phase of the southern annular mode. © 2018 Royal Meteorological Society |
| title |
South American precipitation changes simulated by PMIP3/CMIP5 models during the Little Ice Age and the recent global warming period |
| title_short |
South American precipitation changes simulated by PMIP3/CMIP5 models during the Little Ice Age and the recent global warming period |
| title_full |
South American precipitation changes simulated by PMIP3/CMIP5 models during the Little Ice Age and the recent global warming period |
| title_fullStr |
South American precipitation changes simulated by PMIP3/CMIP5 models during the Little Ice Age and the recent global warming period |
| title_full_unstemmed |
South American precipitation changes simulated by PMIP3/CMIP5 models during the Little Ice Age and the recent global warming period |
| title_sort |
south american precipitation changes simulated by pmip3/cmip5 models during the little ice age and the recent global warming period |
| publishDate |
2018 |
| url |
https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_08998418_v38_n6_p2638_Diaz http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_08998418_v38_n6_p2638_Diaz |
| _version_ |
1768544232316862464 |