Transition matrix analysis of land-cover change in the accretion area of the lower delta of the Paraná River (Argentina) reveals two succession pathways

Aerial photographs from 1978, 1990, and 1995 were used to measure historical land-cover changes in the accretion portion of the Lower Delta of the Paraná River in Argentina. Six land-cover types were identified and mapped according to the dominant physiognomy: rushes, marshes, seibo forest, mixed pr...

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Autores principales: Biondini, Mariela, Kandus, Patricia
Publicado: 2006
Materias:
GIS
Acceso en línea:https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_02775212_v26_n4_p981_Biondini
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_02775212_v26_n4_p981_Biondini
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spelling paper:paper_02775212_v26_n4_p981_Biondini2023-06-08T15:26:02Z Transition matrix analysis of land-cover change in the accretion area of the lower delta of the Paraná River (Argentina) reveals two succession pathways Biondini, Mariela Kandus, Patricia Delta GIS Historical land-cover change Kappa indices Transition matrix accretion aerial photograph delta GIS historical ecology human activity index method land cover landscape change marsh numerical model plant community probability Parana River South America Juncus Salix Aerial photographs from 1978, 1990, and 1995 were used to measure historical land-cover changes in the accretion portion of the Lower Delta of the Paraná River in Argentina. Six land-cover types were identified and mapped according to the dominant physiognomy: rushes, marshes, seibo forest, mixed prairies of woody and herbaceous plants, vegetated lagoons, and a human land-use category resulting from anthropomorphic intervention (willow and poplar plantations and tourist or recreational areas). The occurrence and magnitude of changes in cover were estimated through Kappa indices, and transition matrices were calculated in order to represent all possible changes that occur in the landscape. The study area had an increase in island surface of 11.75% from 1978 to 1995. Although the delta is in an active accretion phase, the results indicate that the landscape shows moderate to little changes in the time period analyzed (General Kappa: 1978-1990: 0.75, 1990-1995: 0.79). Rushes are pioneer colonizers of banks, which later give rise to marshes or woody and herbaceous prairies and forests. Marshes and forests are stable systems. The pattern of change in islands does not follow a one-way sequence; on the contrary, two main pathways were identified. In the time period analyzed, human activity increased substantially to the detriment of marshes and native forests. Quantification of landscape-change processes allowed us to construct a probability model of land-cover change and compare our results to the predictions formulated in previous vegetation studies based on plant community analysis. © 2006, The Society of Wetland Scientists. Fil:Biondini, M. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:Kandus, P. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. 2006 https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_02775212_v26_n4_p981_Biondini http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_02775212_v26_n4_p981_Biondini
institution Universidad de Buenos Aires
institution_str I-28
repository_str R-134
collection Biblioteca Digital - Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales (UBA)
topic Delta
GIS
Historical land-cover change
Kappa indices
Transition matrix
accretion
aerial photograph
delta
GIS
historical ecology
human activity
index method
land cover
landscape change
marsh
numerical model
plant community
probability
Parana River
South America
Juncus
Salix
spellingShingle Delta
GIS
Historical land-cover change
Kappa indices
Transition matrix
accretion
aerial photograph
delta
GIS
historical ecology
human activity
index method
land cover
landscape change
marsh
numerical model
plant community
probability
Parana River
South America
Juncus
Salix
Biondini, Mariela
Kandus, Patricia
Transition matrix analysis of land-cover change in the accretion area of the lower delta of the Paraná River (Argentina) reveals two succession pathways
topic_facet Delta
GIS
Historical land-cover change
Kappa indices
Transition matrix
accretion
aerial photograph
delta
GIS
historical ecology
human activity
index method
land cover
landscape change
marsh
numerical model
plant community
probability
Parana River
South America
Juncus
Salix
description Aerial photographs from 1978, 1990, and 1995 were used to measure historical land-cover changes in the accretion portion of the Lower Delta of the Paraná River in Argentina. Six land-cover types were identified and mapped according to the dominant physiognomy: rushes, marshes, seibo forest, mixed prairies of woody and herbaceous plants, vegetated lagoons, and a human land-use category resulting from anthropomorphic intervention (willow and poplar plantations and tourist or recreational areas). The occurrence and magnitude of changes in cover were estimated through Kappa indices, and transition matrices were calculated in order to represent all possible changes that occur in the landscape. The study area had an increase in island surface of 11.75% from 1978 to 1995. Although the delta is in an active accretion phase, the results indicate that the landscape shows moderate to little changes in the time period analyzed (General Kappa: 1978-1990: 0.75, 1990-1995: 0.79). Rushes are pioneer colonizers of banks, which later give rise to marshes or woody and herbaceous prairies and forests. Marshes and forests are stable systems. The pattern of change in islands does not follow a one-way sequence; on the contrary, two main pathways were identified. In the time period analyzed, human activity increased substantially to the detriment of marshes and native forests. Quantification of landscape-change processes allowed us to construct a probability model of land-cover change and compare our results to the predictions formulated in previous vegetation studies based on plant community analysis. © 2006, The Society of Wetland Scientists.
author Biondini, Mariela
Kandus, Patricia
author_facet Biondini, Mariela
Kandus, Patricia
author_sort Biondini, Mariela
title Transition matrix analysis of land-cover change in the accretion area of the lower delta of the Paraná River (Argentina) reveals two succession pathways
title_short Transition matrix analysis of land-cover change in the accretion area of the lower delta of the Paraná River (Argentina) reveals two succession pathways
title_full Transition matrix analysis of land-cover change in the accretion area of the lower delta of the Paraná River (Argentina) reveals two succession pathways
title_fullStr Transition matrix analysis of land-cover change in the accretion area of the lower delta of the Paraná River (Argentina) reveals two succession pathways
title_full_unstemmed Transition matrix analysis of land-cover change in the accretion area of the lower delta of the Paraná River (Argentina) reveals two succession pathways
title_sort transition matrix analysis of land-cover change in the accretion area of the lower delta of the paraná river (argentina) reveals two succession pathways
publishDate 2006
url https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_02775212_v26_n4_p981_Biondini
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_02775212_v26_n4_p981_Biondini
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AT kanduspatricia transitionmatrixanalysisoflandcoverchangeintheaccretionareaofthelowerdeltaoftheparanariverargentinarevealstwosuccessionpathways
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