A stochastic population dynamics model for Aedes aegypti: Formulation and application to a city with temperate climate

Aedes aegypti is the main vector for dengue and urban yellow fever. It is extended around the world not only in the tropical regions but also beyond them, reaching temperate climates. Because of its importance as a vector of deadly diseases, the significance of its distribution in urban areas and th...

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Autores principales:	Otero, Marcelo Javier, Solari, Hernán Gustavo, Schweigmann, Nicolás Joaquin
Publicado:	2006
Materias:	Aedes aegypti Mathematical ecology Population dynamics Stochastic model Temperate climate Aedes animal Argentina article biological model dengue Dengue virus disease carrier disease transmission female growth, development and aging microbiology population dynamics season statistical model statistics urban population virology Animals Dengue Dengue Virus Female Insect Vectors Models, Biological Models, Statistical Population Dynamics Seasons Stochastic Processes Urban Population
Acceso en línea:	https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_00928240_v68_n8_p1945_Otero http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_00928240_v68_n8_p1945_Otero
Aporte de:	Biblioteca Digital - Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales (UBA) de Universidad de Buenos Aires

id	paper:paper_00928240_v68_n8_p1945_Otero
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spelling	paper:paper_00928240_v68_n8_p1945_Otero2023-06-08T15:08:22Z A stochastic population dynamics model for Aedes aegypti: Formulation and application to a city with temperate climate Otero, Marcelo Javier Solari, Hernán Gustavo Schweigmann, Nicolás Joaquin Aedes aegypti Mathematical ecology Population dynamics Stochastic model Temperate climate Aedes animal Argentina article biological model dengue Dengue virus disease carrier disease transmission female growth, development and aging microbiology population dynamics season statistical model statistics urban population virology Aedes Animals Argentina Dengue Dengue Virus Female Insect Vectors Models, Biological Models, Statistical Population Dynamics Seasons Stochastic Processes Urban Population Aedes aegypti Aedes aegypti is the main vector for dengue and urban yellow fever. It is extended around the world not only in the tropical regions but also beyond them, reaching temperate climates. Because of its importance as a vector of deadly diseases, the significance of its distribution in urban areas and the possibility of breeding in laboratory facilities, Aedes aegypti is one of the best-known mosquitoes. In this work the biology of Aedes aegypti is incorporated into the framework of a stochastic population dynamics model able to handle seasonal and total extinction as well as endemic situations. The model incorporates explicitly the dependence with temperature. The ecological parameters of the model are tuned to the present populations of Aedes aegypti in Buenos Aires city, which is at the border of the present day geographical distribution in South America. Temperature thresholds for the mosquito survival are computed as a function of average yearly temperature and seasonal variation as well as breeding site availability. The stochastic analysis suggests that the southern limit of Aedes aegypti distribution in South America is close to the 15°C average yearly isotherm, which accounts for the historical and current distribution better than the traditional criterion of the winter (July) 10°C isotherm. © 2006 Springer Science+Business Media, Inc. Fil:Otero, M. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:Solari, H.G. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. Fil:Schweigmann, N. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales; Argentina. 2006 https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_00928240_v68_n8_p1945_Otero http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_00928240_v68_n8_p1945_Otero
institution	Universidad de Buenos Aires
institution_str	I-28
repository_str	R-134
collection	Biblioteca Digital - Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales (UBA)
topic	Aedes aegypti Mathematical ecology Population dynamics Stochastic model Temperate climate Aedes animal Argentina article biological model dengue Dengue virus disease carrier disease transmission female growth, development and aging microbiology population dynamics season statistical model statistics urban population virology Aedes Animals Argentina Dengue Dengue Virus Female Insect Vectors Models, Biological Models, Statistical Population Dynamics Seasons Stochastic Processes Urban Population Aedes aegypti
spellingShingle	Aedes aegypti Mathematical ecology Population dynamics Stochastic model Temperate climate Aedes animal Argentina article biological model dengue Dengue virus disease carrier disease transmission female growth, development and aging microbiology population dynamics season statistical model statistics urban population virology Aedes Animals Argentina Dengue Dengue Virus Female Insect Vectors Models, Biological Models, Statistical Population Dynamics Seasons Stochastic Processes Urban Population Aedes aegypti Otero, Marcelo Javier Solari, Hernán Gustavo Schweigmann, Nicolás Joaquin A stochastic population dynamics model for Aedes aegypti: Formulation and application to a city with temperate climate
topic_facet	Aedes aegypti Mathematical ecology Population dynamics Stochastic model Temperate climate Aedes animal Argentina article biological model dengue Dengue virus disease carrier disease transmission female growth, development and aging microbiology population dynamics season statistical model statistics urban population virology Aedes Animals Argentina Dengue Dengue Virus Female Insect Vectors Models, Biological Models, Statistical Population Dynamics Seasons Stochastic Processes Urban Population Aedes aegypti
description	Aedes aegypti is the main vector for dengue and urban yellow fever. It is extended around the world not only in the tropical regions but also beyond them, reaching temperate climates. Because of its importance as a vector of deadly diseases, the significance of its distribution in urban areas and the possibility of breeding in laboratory facilities, Aedes aegypti is one of the best-known mosquitoes. In this work the biology of Aedes aegypti is incorporated into the framework of a stochastic population dynamics model able to handle seasonal and total extinction as well as endemic situations. The model incorporates explicitly the dependence with temperature. The ecological parameters of the model are tuned to the present populations of Aedes aegypti in Buenos Aires city, which is at the border of the present day geographical distribution in South America. Temperature thresholds for the mosquito survival are computed as a function of average yearly temperature and seasonal variation as well as breeding site availability. The stochastic analysis suggests that the southern limit of Aedes aegypti distribution in South America is close to the 15°C average yearly isotherm, which accounts for the historical and current distribution better than the traditional criterion of the winter (July) 10°C isotherm. © 2006 Springer Science+Business Media, Inc.
author	Otero, Marcelo Javier Solari, Hernán Gustavo Schweigmann, Nicolás Joaquin
author_facet	Otero, Marcelo Javier Solari, Hernán Gustavo Schweigmann, Nicolás Joaquin
author_sort	Otero, Marcelo Javier
title	A stochastic population dynamics model for Aedes aegypti: Formulation and application to a city with temperate climate
title_short	A stochastic population dynamics model for Aedes aegypti: Formulation and application to a city with temperate climate
title_full	A stochastic population dynamics model for Aedes aegypti: Formulation and application to a city with temperate climate
title_fullStr	A stochastic population dynamics model for Aedes aegypti: Formulation and application to a city with temperate climate
title_full_unstemmed	A stochastic population dynamics model for Aedes aegypti: Formulation and application to a city with temperate climate
title_sort	stochastic population dynamics model for aedes aegypti: formulation and application to a city with temperate climate
publishDate	2006
url	https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_00928240_v68_n8_p1945_Otero http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_00928240_v68_n8_p1945_Otero
work_keys_str_mv	AT oteromarcelojavier astochasticpopulationdynamicsmodelforaedesaegyptiformulationandapplicationtoacitywithtemperateclimate AT solarihernangustavo astochasticpopulationdynamicsmodelforaedesaegyptiformulationandapplicationtoacitywithtemperateclimate AT schweigmannnicolasjoaquin astochasticpopulationdynamicsmodelforaedesaegyptiformulationandapplicationtoacitywithtemperateclimate AT oteromarcelojavier stochasticpopulationdynamicsmodelforaedesaegyptiformulationandapplicationtoacitywithtemperateclimate AT solarihernangustavo stochasticpopulationdynamicsmodelforaedesaegyptiformulationandapplicationtoacitywithtemperateclimate AT schweigmannnicolasjoaquin stochasticpopulationdynamicsmodelforaedesaegyptiformulationandapplicationtoacitywithtemperateclimate
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A stochastic population dynamics model for Aedes aegypti: Formulation and application to a city with temperate climate

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