The tourist demand of the hotel chain. Time series for a forecast model

Fil: Fernández López, Reinier. University of Pinar del Río Hermanos Saíz Monte de Oca; Cuba.

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Fernández López, Reinier, Vilalta Alonso, José Alberto, Quintero Silverio, Arely, Díaz González, Ledy
Formato:	Artículo publishedVersion
Lenguaje:	Inglés
Publicado:	Universidad Nacional de Misiones. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas. Programa de Posgrado en Administración 2021
Materias:	Tourist demand Efficacy Efficiency Time series
Acceso en línea:	https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12219/2826 https://doi.org/10.36995/j.visiondefuturo.2021.25.01.004.en https://visiondefuturo.fce.unam.edu.ar/index.php/visiondefuturo/article/view/453/342
Aporte de:	Repositorio Institucional Digital de la UNaM (RIDUNAM) de Universidad Nacional de Misiones

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spelling	I77-R195-20.500.12219-28262023-08-15T17:52:49Z The tourist demand of the hotel chain. Time series for a forecast model Fernández López, Reinier Vilalta Alonso, José Alberto Quintero Silverio, Arely Díaz González, Ledy Tourist demand Efficacy Efficiency Time series Fil: Fernández López, Reinier. University of Pinar del Río Hermanos Saíz Monte de Oca; Cuba. Fil: Vilalta Alonso, José Alberto. Technological University of Havana José Antonio Echeverría; Cuba. Fil: Quintero Silverio, Arely. University of Pinar del Río Hermanos Saíz Monte de Oca; Cuba. Fil: Díaz González, Ledy. University of Pinar del Río Hermanos Saíz Monte de Oca; Cuba. In an increasingly uncertain world where world dynamics accelerates the way of managing processes in any sector, the forecast of tourist demand becomes very important. In this sense, the present research aims to forecast the tourist demand of the Cuban Hotel Chain of Pinar del Río, Cuba, until December 2019, through the use of time series techniques, which facilitate planning and decision-making. in this sector and in this way work towards the achievement of an integration in the productive chains, considering that tourism is one of the socioeconomic activities that activates many other sectors of production and services, as well as predicting the behavior of tourism. For this, the quantitative research method was used as the guiding method, based on the Box - Jenkins methodology and the Holt - Winters exponential smoothing method. It is also possible to characterize tourism management taking into consideration two indicators: cost per weight and average income per tourist, referring to efficiency and effectiveness respectively. In addition, a multivariate analysis of time series was carried out that made it possible to characterize the tourist activity in four fundamental stages in the hotel chain taken as the object of study. 2021-01-29 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12219/2826 https://doi.org/10.36995/j.visiondefuturo.2021.25.01.004.en https://visiondefuturo.fce.unam.edu.ar/index.php/visiondefuturo/article/view/453/342 eng application/pdf application/pdf Universidad Nacional de Misiones. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas. Programa de Posgrado en Administración Visión de Futuro (Misiones), 1-2021; 25(1): pp. 133-154. https://visiondefuturo.fce.unam.edu.ar/index.php/visiondefuturo/index
institution	Universidad Nacional de Misiones
institution_str	I-77
repository_str	R-195
collection	Repositorio Institucional Digital de la UNaM (RIDUNAM)
language	Inglés
topic	Tourist demand Efficacy Efficiency Time series
spellingShingle	Tourist demand Efficacy Efficiency Time series Fernández López, Reinier Vilalta Alonso, José Alberto Quintero Silverio, Arely Díaz González, Ledy The tourist demand of the hotel chain. Time series for a forecast model
topic_facet	Tourist demand Efficacy Efficiency Time series
description	Fil: Fernández López, Reinier. University of Pinar del Río Hermanos Saíz Monte de Oca; Cuba.
format	Artículo Artículo publishedVersion
author	Fernández López, Reinier Vilalta Alonso, José Alberto Quintero Silverio, Arely Díaz González, Ledy
author_facet	Fernández López, Reinier Vilalta Alonso, José Alberto Quintero Silverio, Arely Díaz González, Ledy
author_sort	Fernández López, Reinier
title	The tourist demand of the hotel chain. Time series for a forecast model
title_short	The tourist demand of the hotel chain. Time series for a forecast model
title_full	The tourist demand of the hotel chain. Time series for a forecast model
title_fullStr	The tourist demand of the hotel chain. Time series for a forecast model
title_full_unstemmed	The tourist demand of the hotel chain. Time series for a forecast model
title_sort	tourist demand of the hotel chain. time series for a forecast model
publisher	Universidad Nacional de Misiones. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas. Programa de Posgrado en Administración
publishDate	2021
url	https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12219/2826 https://doi.org/10.36995/j.visiondefuturo.2021.25.01.004.en https://visiondefuturo.fce.unam.edu.ar/index.php/visiondefuturo/article/view/453/342
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The tourist demand of the hotel chain. Time series for a forecast model

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