Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022 (resumen)

Accounting and reporting of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are mandatory for Parties under the Paris Agreement. Emissions reporting is important for understanding the global carbon cycle and for addressing global climate change. However, in a period of open conflict or war, military emissions increa...

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Autor principal: Puliafito, Enrique
Formato: Artículo acceptedVersion
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2024
Materias:
Wartime GHG emissions, GHG emission reporting, Unreported GHG emissions, Uncertainty in GHG emissions War in Ukraine
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12272/11253
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.169879
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RIA - Repositorio Institucional Abierto (UTN) de Universidad Tecnológica Nacional
id I68-R174-20.500.12272-11253
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spelling I68-R174-20.500.12272-112532024-08-07T14:47:50Z Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022 (resumen) Puliafito, Enrique Wartime GHG emissions, GHG emission reporting, Unreported GHG emissions, Uncertainty in GHG emissions War in Ukraine Accounting and reporting of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are mandatory for Parties under the Paris Agreement. Emissions reporting is important for understanding the global carbon cycle and for addressing global climate change. However, in a period of open conflict or war, military emissions increase significantly and the accounting system is not currently designed to account adequately for this source. In this paper we analyze how, during the first 18 months of the 2022/2023 full-scale war in Ukraine, GHG national inventory reporting to the UNFCCC was affected. We estimated the decrease of emissions due to a reduction in traditional human activities. We identified major, war-related, emission processes from the territory of Ukraine not covered by current GHG inventory guidelines and that are not likely to be included in national inventory reports. If these emissions are included, they will likely be incorporated in a way that is not transparent with potentially high uncertainty. We analyze publicly available data and use expert judgment to estimate such emissions from (1) the use of bombs, missiles, barrel artillery, and mines; (2) the consumption of oil products for military operations; (3) fires at petroleum storage depots and refineries; (4) fires in buildings and infrastructure facilities; (5) fires on forest and agricultural lands; and (6) the decomposition of war-related garbage/waste. Our estimate of these war-related emissions of carbon dioXide, methane, and nitrous oXide for the first 18 months of the war in Ukraine is 77 MtCO2-eq. with a relative uncertainty of +/—22 % (95 % confidence interval). Universidad Tecnológica Nacional. Facultad Regional Mendoza, Argentina Peer Reviewed 2024-08-07T14:47:49Z 2024-08-07T14:47:49Z 2024-03-01 info:eu-repo/semantics/article acceptedVersion Science of the Total Environment http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12272/11253 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.169879 eng openAccess http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/ CC0 1.0 Universal Universidad Tecnológica Nacional. Facultad Regional Mendoza CC BY (Autoría) CC BY-NC (Autoría – No Comercial) pdf Science of the Total Environment 914, (2024)
institution Universidad Tecnológica Nacional
institution_str I-68
repository_str R-174
collection RIA - Repositorio Institucional Abierto (UTN)
language Inglés
topic Wartime GHG emissions, GHG emission reporting, Unreported GHG emissions, Uncertainty in GHG emissions War in Ukraine
spellingShingle Wartime GHG emissions, GHG emission reporting, Unreported GHG emissions, Uncertainty in GHG emissions War in Ukraine
Puliafito, Enrique
Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022 (resumen)
topic_facet Wartime GHG emissions, GHG emission reporting, Unreported GHG emissions, Uncertainty in GHG emissions War in Ukraine
description Accounting and reporting of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are mandatory for Parties under the Paris Agreement. Emissions reporting is important for understanding the global carbon cycle and for addressing global climate change. However, in a period of open conflict or war, military emissions increase significantly and the accounting system is not currently designed to account adequately for this source. In this paper we analyze how, during the first 18 months of the 2022/2023 full-scale war in Ukraine, GHG national inventory reporting to the UNFCCC was affected. We estimated the decrease of emissions due to a reduction in traditional human activities. We identified major, war-related, emission processes from the territory of Ukraine not covered by current GHG inventory guidelines and that are not likely to be included in national inventory reports. If these emissions are included, they will likely be incorporated in a way that is not transparent with potentially high uncertainty. We analyze publicly available data and use expert judgment to estimate such emissions from (1) the use of bombs, missiles, barrel artillery, and mines; (2) the consumption of oil products for military operations; (3) fires at petroleum storage depots and refineries; (4) fires in buildings and infrastructure facilities; (5) fires on forest and agricultural lands; and (6) the decomposition of war-related garbage/waste. Our estimate of these war-related emissions of carbon dioXide, methane, and nitrous oXide for the first 18 months of the war in Ukraine is 77 MtCO2-eq. with a relative uncertainty of +/—22 % (95 % confidence interval).
format Artículo
acceptedVersion
author Puliafito, Enrique
author_facet Puliafito, Enrique
author_sort Puliafito, Enrique
title Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022 (resumen)
title_short Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022 (resumen)
title_full Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022 (resumen)
title_fullStr Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022 (resumen)
title_full_unstemmed Tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in Ukraine since 2022 (resumen)
title_sort tracking unaccounted greenhouse gas emissions due to the war in ukraine since 2022 (resumen)
publishDate 2024
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12272/11253
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.169879
work_keys_str_mv AT puliafitoenrique trackingunaccountedgreenhousegasemissionsduetothewarinukrainesince2022resumen
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