The predictive validity of self-rated alcohol susceptibility to alcohol use in early adolescents in Latin America

Fil: Dramis, Agustín. Applied Biostatistics Group. Faculty of Exact and Natural Sciences, University of Buenos Aires; Argentina.

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Autores principales: Barrientos-Gutiérrez, Inti, Pérez, Adriana, Sargent, James D., Dramis, Agustín, Thrasher, James F, Mejía, Raúl M
Formato: publishedVersion Artículo
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2023
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Acceso en línea:http://repositorio.cedes.org/handle/123456789/4736
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spelling I61-R167-123456789-47362023-10-25T21:54:41Z The predictive validity of self-rated alcohol susceptibility to alcohol use in early adolescents in Latin America La validez predictiva de la susceptibilidad al alcohol autoevaluada al consumo de alcohol en adolescentes tempranos en América Latina Barrientos-Gutiérrez, Inti Pérez, Adriana Sargent, James D. Dramis, Agustín Thrasher, James F Mejía, Raúl M CONSUMO DE ALCOHOL EN MENORES DE EDAD ADOLESCENTES ARGENTINA MEXICO Fil: Dramis, Agustín. Applied Biostatistics Group. Faculty of Exact and Natural Sciences, University of Buenos Aires; Argentina. Fil: Mejía, Raúl M. CEDES. Centro de Estudios de Estado y Sociedad. Área de Salud, Economía y Sociedad; Argentina. Fil: Thrasher, James F. Department of Tobacco Research, Center for Population Health Research, National Institute of Public Health; México. Fil: Barrientos-Gutiérrez, Inti. Department of Tobacco Research, Center for Population Health Research, National Institute of Public Health; México. Fil: Sargent, James. Department of Pediatrics, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth; Estados Unidos. Fil: Pérez, Adriana. CEDES. Centro de Estudios de Estado y Sociedad. Área de Salud, Economía y Sociedad; Argentina. Background: Measurement of substance use susceptibility was first conceived as part of the preparatory stage preceding youth smoking initiation and is defined as the lack of a firm commitment not to smoke in the future. Despite being a consistent and validated predictor of smoking initiation, little research has investigated whether susceptibility can predict alcohol use. This study aimed to assess the predictive validity of an adapted alcohol susceptibility measure among early adolescent students in Argentina and Mexico who had not previously consumed alcohol. Methods: A school-based longitudinal study was conducted among first-year students in 33 secondary schools in Argentina and 57 in Mexico. The baseline sample included 1,504 never-drinker adolescents in Argentina and 5,264 in Mexico, of whom 1,055 and 3,540, respectively, completed a follow-up survey a year and a half later. Logistic regression with school as a random effect was used to estimate adjusted odds ratios for the transitions from never-drinker to ever-drinker, current drinker, and binge drinker. Results: At baseline, 34% and 23.6% of adolescent never-users were susceptible to alcohol in Argentina and Mexico, respectively. After controlling for other known predictors of alcohol use initiation, alcohol susceptibility was positively associated with ever-drinking (OR = 3.23, 95% CI 2.38-4.36 in Argentina, OR = 1.73, 95% CI 1.43-2.10 in Mexico), current drinking (OR = 2.41, 95% CI 1.71-3.4 in Argentina, OR = 1.77, 95% CI 1.37-2.28 in Mexico), and binge drinking (OR = 2.27, 95% CI 1.78-2.91 in Argentina, OR = 1.89, 95% CI 1.32-1.99 in Mexico). Conclusions: The adapted susceptibility measure for alcohol appears valid for identifying individuals or groups at risk of drinking initiation and problematic drinking among early adolescents in Argentina and Mexico. 2023-08-07T12:29:40Z 2023-08-07T12:29:40Z 2023-07 info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo Dramis A, Mejía R, Thrasher JF, Barrientos-Gutiérrez I, Sargent J, Pérez A. The predictive validity of self-rated alcohol susceptibility to alcohol use in early adolescents in Latin America. Alcohol Clin Exp Res (Hoboken) . 2023 Jul 31. doi: 10.1111/acer.15158. Disponible en: http://repositorio.cedes.org/handle/123456789/4736. 2993-7175 http://repositorio.cedes.org/handle/123456789/4736 10.1111/acer.15158 37524360 eng info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess application/pdf Alcohol Clin Exp Res (Hoboken). 2023 Jul 31. doi: 10.1111/acer.15158.
institution Centro de Estudios de Estado y Sociedad (CEDES)
institution_str I-61
repository_str R-167
collection Respositorio Digital CRIS del CEDES - Centro de Estudios de Estado y Sociedad
language Inglés
topic CONSUMO DE ALCOHOL EN MENORES DE EDAD
ADOLESCENTES
ARGENTINA
MEXICO
spellingShingle CONSUMO DE ALCOHOL EN MENORES DE EDAD
ADOLESCENTES
ARGENTINA
MEXICO
Barrientos-Gutiérrez, Inti
Pérez, Adriana
Sargent, James D.
Dramis, Agustín
Thrasher, James F
Mejía, Raúl M
The predictive validity of self-rated alcohol susceptibility to alcohol use in early adolescents in Latin America
topic_facet CONSUMO DE ALCOHOL EN MENORES DE EDAD
ADOLESCENTES
ARGENTINA
MEXICO
description Fil: Dramis, Agustín. Applied Biostatistics Group. Faculty of Exact and Natural Sciences, University of Buenos Aires; Argentina.
format publishedVersion
Artículo
Artículo
author Barrientos-Gutiérrez, Inti
Pérez, Adriana
Sargent, James D.
Dramis, Agustín
Thrasher, James F
Mejía, Raúl M
author_facet Barrientos-Gutiérrez, Inti
Pérez, Adriana
Sargent, James D.
Dramis, Agustín
Thrasher, James F
Mejía, Raúl M
author_sort Barrientos-Gutiérrez, Inti
title The predictive validity of self-rated alcohol susceptibility to alcohol use in early adolescents in Latin America
title_short The predictive validity of self-rated alcohol susceptibility to alcohol use in early adolescents in Latin America
title_full The predictive validity of self-rated alcohol susceptibility to alcohol use in early adolescents in Latin America
title_fullStr The predictive validity of self-rated alcohol susceptibility to alcohol use in early adolescents in Latin America
title_full_unstemmed The predictive validity of self-rated alcohol susceptibility to alcohol use in early adolescents in Latin America
title_sort predictive validity of self-rated alcohol susceptibility to alcohol use in early adolescents in latin america
publishDate 2023
url http://repositorio.cedes.org/handle/123456789/4736
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