An Integrated Epidemiological and Economic Model of COVID-19 NPIs in Argentina

We added a multi-sectoral economic framework to a SVEIR epidemiological model, combining the economic rationale of the DAEDALUS model with a detailed treatment of lockdown fatigue and declining compliance with Public Health and Social Measures reported in recent empirical work, to quantify the epide...

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Autores principales: Rubinstein, Adolfo, Levy Yeyati, Eduardo, López Osornio, Alejandro L., Filippini, Federico, Santoro, Adrián, Cejas, Cintia, Bardach, Ariel L., Palacios, Alfredo, Argento, Fernando, Balivian, Jamile, Augustovski, Federico, Pichon‐Riviere, Andrés L.
Formato: Documento de trabajo acceptedVersion
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Universidad Torcuato Di Tella 2024
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Acceso en línea:https://repositorio.utdt.edu/handle/20.500.13098/13104
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id I57-R163-20.500.13098-13104
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spelling I57-R163-20.500.13098-131042025-03-21T21:45:22Z An Integrated Epidemiological and Economic Model of COVID-19 NPIs in Argentina Rubinstein, Adolfo Levy Yeyati, Eduardo López Osornio, Alejandro L. Filippini, Federico Santoro, Adrián Cejas, Cintia Bardach, Ariel L. Palacios, Alfredo Argento, Fernando Balivian, Jamile Augustovski, Federico Pichon‐Riviere, Andrés L. Covid-19 Economic Public Health Salud Pública Análisis económico Pandemia We added a multi-sectoral economic framework to a SVEIR epidemiological model, combining the economic rationale of the DAEDALUS model with a detailed treatment of lockdown fatigue and declining compliance with Public Health and Social Measures reported in recent empirical work, to quantify the epidemic and economic benefits and costs of alternative lockdown and PHSM policies, both in terms of intensity and length. Our calibration replicates key features of the case and death-curves and economic cost for Argentina in 2021. The model allows us to quantify the short-term policy trade-off between lives and livelihoods and show that it can be significantly improved with targeted pharmaceutical policies such as vaccine rollout to reduce mainly severe disease and the death toll from COVID-19, as has been highlighted by previous studies. Documento de Trabajo 2022/07 2024-10-07T18:34:47Z 2024-10-07T18:34:47Z 2022-11 info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion https://repositorio.utdt.edu/handle/20.500.13098/13104 eng Documento de Trabajo. Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Gobierno info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.5/ar/ 32 p. application/pdf application/pdf Argentina Universidad Torcuato Di Tella Escuela de Gobierno
institution Universidad Torcuato Di Tella
institution_str I-57
repository_str R-163
collection Repositorio Digital Universidad Torcuato Di Tella
language Inglés
orig_language_str_mv eng
topic Covid-19
Economic
Public Health
Salud Pública
Análisis económico
Pandemia
spellingShingle Covid-19
Economic
Public Health
Salud Pública
Análisis económico
Pandemia
Rubinstein, Adolfo
Levy Yeyati, Eduardo
López Osornio, Alejandro L.
Filippini, Federico
Santoro, Adrián
Cejas, Cintia
Bardach, Ariel L.
Palacios, Alfredo
Argento, Fernando
Balivian, Jamile
Augustovski, Federico
Pichon‐Riviere, Andrés L.
An Integrated Epidemiological and Economic Model of COVID-19 NPIs in Argentina
topic_facet Covid-19
Economic
Public Health
Salud Pública
Análisis económico
Pandemia
description We added a multi-sectoral economic framework to a SVEIR epidemiological model, combining the economic rationale of the DAEDALUS model with a detailed treatment of lockdown fatigue and declining compliance with Public Health and Social Measures reported in recent empirical work, to quantify the epidemic and economic benefits and costs of alternative lockdown and PHSM policies, both in terms of intensity and length. Our calibration replicates key features of the case and death-curves and economic cost for Argentina in 2021. The model allows us to quantify the short-term policy trade-off between lives and livelihoods and show that it can be significantly improved with targeted pharmaceutical policies such as vaccine rollout to reduce mainly severe disease and the death toll from COVID-19, as has been highlighted by previous studies.
format Documento de trabajo
acceptedVersion
author Rubinstein, Adolfo
Levy Yeyati, Eduardo
López Osornio, Alejandro L.
Filippini, Federico
Santoro, Adrián
Cejas, Cintia
Bardach, Ariel L.
Palacios, Alfredo
Argento, Fernando
Balivian, Jamile
Augustovski, Federico
Pichon‐Riviere, Andrés L.
author_facet Rubinstein, Adolfo
Levy Yeyati, Eduardo
López Osornio, Alejandro L.
Filippini, Federico
Santoro, Adrián
Cejas, Cintia
Bardach, Ariel L.
Palacios, Alfredo
Argento, Fernando
Balivian, Jamile
Augustovski, Federico
Pichon‐Riviere, Andrés L.
author_sort Rubinstein, Adolfo
title An Integrated Epidemiological and Economic Model of COVID-19 NPIs in Argentina
title_short An Integrated Epidemiological and Economic Model of COVID-19 NPIs in Argentina
title_full An Integrated Epidemiological and Economic Model of COVID-19 NPIs in Argentina
title_fullStr An Integrated Epidemiological and Economic Model of COVID-19 NPIs in Argentina
title_full_unstemmed An Integrated Epidemiological and Economic Model of COVID-19 NPIs in Argentina
title_sort integrated epidemiological and economic model of covid-19 npis in argentina
publisher Universidad Torcuato Di Tella
publishDate 2024
url https://repositorio.utdt.edu/handle/20.500.13098/13104
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