Shaking rivers and budget cycles : a comprehensive framework

Fil: Campabadal, Joaquín. Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía; Argentina.

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Autor principal: Campabadal, Joaquín
Otros Autores: Heymann, Daniel
Formato: Tesis Tesis de maestría updatedVersion
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía 2024
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10908/23819
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Repositorio Digital - Universidad de San Andrés (UdeSa) de Universidad de San Andrés
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spelling I37-R143-10908-238192025-01-21T11:03:53Z Shaking rivers and budget cycles : a comprehensive framework Campabadal, Joaquín Heymann, Daniel Fil: Campabadal, Joaquín. Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía; Argentina. The 1990s were host to a variety of political economy papers that tried to explain why and how incumbents would use fiscal resources strategically to get reelected. Under the main argument, a politician might be inclined to increase spending/reduce taxes when close to an election to increase their reelection probabilities, even if this goes against their preferences (i.e. a party increases expenditure even if it’s right-leaning) or if it harms the economy in the long run (by reducing the stream of resources in the future). Allegedly, this literature - called the political budget cycle literature - wanted to endow the experiences of the Reagan administration (among others) with a rationale, especially those near the end of his second term. In this thesis I will focus on two objectives. First, I will study the US case to try to understand whether these dynamics are present there, if they are heterogenous across parties and how they are affected by the likelihood of being reelected. Secondly, I will develop a theoretical framework in which parties use fiscal variables detrimentally to enhance their chances at reelection, and explore the interplay between election prospects and the behavior of the incumbent regarding fiscal variables. 2024-06-07T12:37:34Z 2024-06-07T12:37:34Z 2024-03 Tesis info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis info:ar-repo/semantics/tesis de maestría info:eu-repo/semantics/updatedVersion Campabadal, J. (2024). Shaking rivers and budget cycles : a comprehensive framework. [Tesis de maestría, Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía]. Repositorio Digital San Andrés. http://hdl.handle.net/10908/23819 http://hdl.handle.net/10908/23819 eng info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ application/pdf application/pdf Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía
institution Universidad de San Andrés
institution_str I-37
repository_str R-143
collection Repositorio Digital - Universidad de San Andrés (UdeSa)
language Inglés
description Fil: Campabadal, Joaquín. Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía; Argentina.
author2 Heymann, Daniel
author_facet Heymann, Daniel
Campabadal, Joaquín
format Tesis
Tesis de maestría
Tesis de maestría
updatedVersion
author Campabadal, Joaquín
spellingShingle Campabadal, Joaquín
Shaking rivers and budget cycles : a comprehensive framework
author_sort Campabadal, Joaquín
title Shaking rivers and budget cycles : a comprehensive framework
title_short Shaking rivers and budget cycles : a comprehensive framework
title_full Shaking rivers and budget cycles : a comprehensive framework
title_fullStr Shaking rivers and budget cycles : a comprehensive framework
title_full_unstemmed Shaking rivers and budget cycles : a comprehensive framework
title_sort shaking rivers and budget cycles : a comprehensive framework
publisher Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía
publishDate 2024
url http://hdl.handle.net/10908/23819
work_keys_str_mv AT campabadaljoaquin shakingriversandbudgetcyclesacomprehensiveframework
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