The effect of black population on the electoral performance of the democratic party : evidence from Alabama and Mississippi

Fil: Millas Caputo, Juan Francisco. Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía; Argentina.

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Autor principal: Millas Caputo, Juan Francisco
Otros Autores: Murphy, Tomás
Formato: Tesis Tesis de grado updatedVersion
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía 2023
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10908/23383
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Repositorio Digital - Universidad de San Andrés (UdeSa) de Universidad de San Andrés
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spelling I37-R143-10908-233832025-01-20T15:22:26Z The effect of black population on the electoral performance of the democratic party : evidence from Alabama and Mississippi Millas Caputo, Juan Francisco Murphy, Tomás Fil: Millas Caputo, Juan Francisco. Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía; Argentina. This thesis aims to estimate the effect of the percentage of black population in a county on the Democratic Party’s performance in presidential elections in Alabama and Mississippi. The argument highlights the relevance of race when determining the political preference of southern voters in contrast to other explanatory variables, and also assesses its possible endogeneity within a model that ascertains the primary factors that drive the Democrat vote. The identification strategy consists of an IV model under exact identification. The instrument of choice is the percentage of a county’s area whose soil belongs to the suborder Uderts, whose validity is sustained using historical and empirical evidence. The main takeaway is that the explanatory power of black population is 10.1% higher when instrumented through Uderts soils compared to an OLS estimation, where an increase of 1 p.p. in the black population of a county results in a rise of 0.958 p.p. in the votes the Democrats receive in presidential elections. This result is robust to variations in the measures of the dependent and independent variables, the inclusion of controls, and a series of robustness checks. 2023-11-08T23:03:17Z 2023-11-08T23:03:17Z 2023-09 Tesis info:eu-repo/semantics/bachelorThesis info:ar-repo/semantics/tesis de grado info:eu-repo/semantics/updatedVersion Millas Caputo, J. F. (2023). The effect of black population on the electoral performance of the democratic party : evidence from Alabama and Mississippi. [Tesis de grado, Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía]. Repositorio Digital San Andrés. http://hdl.handle.net/10908/23383 http://hdl.handle.net/10908/23383 eng info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ application/pdf application/pdf Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía
institution Universidad de San Andrés
institution_str I-37
repository_str R-143
collection Repositorio Digital - Universidad de San Andrés (UdeSa)
language Inglés
description Fil: Millas Caputo, Juan Francisco. Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía; Argentina.
author2 Murphy, Tomás
author_facet Murphy, Tomás
Millas Caputo, Juan Francisco
format Tesis
Tesis de grado
Tesis de grado
updatedVersion
author Millas Caputo, Juan Francisco
spellingShingle Millas Caputo, Juan Francisco
The effect of black population on the electoral performance of the democratic party : evidence from Alabama and Mississippi
author_sort Millas Caputo, Juan Francisco
title The effect of black population on the electoral performance of the democratic party : evidence from Alabama and Mississippi
title_short The effect of black population on the electoral performance of the democratic party : evidence from Alabama and Mississippi
title_full The effect of black population on the electoral performance of the democratic party : evidence from Alabama and Mississippi
title_fullStr The effect of black population on the electoral performance of the democratic party : evidence from Alabama and Mississippi
title_full_unstemmed The effect of black population on the electoral performance of the democratic party : evidence from Alabama and Mississippi
title_sort effect of black population on the electoral performance of the democratic party : evidence from alabama and mississippi
publisher Universidad de San Andrés. Departamento de Economía
publishDate 2023
url http://hdl.handle.net/10908/23383
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