Medium term growth forecasts : experts vs. simple models

Abstract: We compare the medium-term GDP growth forecasts generated by experts to those generated by simple models. This study analyzes a large set of forecasts that covers 48 countries from 1997 to 2016. Out-of-sample exercises indicate that no noticeable difference in performance is observed fo...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Aromí, José Daniel
Formato: Artículo
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier 2019
Materias:
PBI
Acceso en línea:https://repositorio.uca.edu.ar/handle/123456789/8770
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