Growth constraints and external vulnerability in Argentina

This paper describes the balance-of-payments dominance as a growth constraint to the Argentinian economy and briefly characterizes the unbalanced productive structure of the country as its main cause. Also, understanding that under this constraint domestic economic cycles depend on external shocks,...

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Autor principal: Catelén, Ana Laura
Otros Autores: Nicolini, Esteban
Formato: Tesis de maestría acceptedVersion
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:http://nulan.mdp.edu.ar/3471/
http://nulan.mdp.edu.ar/3471/1/catelen-2020.pdf
Aporte de:
id I29-R1353471
record_format dspace
institution Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata (UNMdP)
institution_str I-29
repository_str R-135
collection Nulan - Fac.Cs.Económicas (UNMdP)
language Inglés
orig_language_str_mv eng
topic Crecimiento Económico
Balanza de Pagos
Vulnerabilidad Externa
spellingShingle Crecimiento Económico
Balanza de Pagos
Vulnerabilidad Externa
Catelén, Ana Laura
Growth constraints and external vulnerability in Argentina
description This paper describes the balance-of-payments dominance as a growth constraint to the Argentinian economy and briefly characterizes the unbalanced productive structure of the country as its main cause. Also, understanding that under this constraint domestic economic cycles depend on external shocks, auto-regressive vectors are used to characterize the short-run impact of these shocks on GDP, trade balance, and real wages. Results confirm that there is a bottleneck in the trade balance that blocks future growth possibilities, that GDP and wages are highly sensitive to variations in the terms of trade, that the increase in external debt does not produce economic growth or improvements in the purchasing power of the population, and that there is a vicious dynamic between capital flight and foreign debt. At the same time, there is evidence of the increase in external vulnerability since the change in the accumulation model in the 1970s.
author2 Nicolini, Esteban
author_facet Nicolini, Esteban
Catelén, Ana Laura
format Tesis de maestría
Tesis de maestría
acceptedVersion
author Catelén, Ana Laura
author_sort Catelén, Ana Laura
title Growth constraints and external vulnerability in Argentina
title_short Growth constraints and external vulnerability in Argentina
title_full Growth constraints and external vulnerability in Argentina
title_fullStr Growth constraints and external vulnerability in Argentina
title_full_unstemmed Growth constraints and external vulnerability in Argentina
title_sort growth constraints and external vulnerability in argentina
publishDate 2020
url http://nulan.mdp.edu.ar/3471/
http://nulan.mdp.edu.ar/3471/1/catelen-2020.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT catelenanalaura growthconstraintsandexternalvulnerabilityinargentina
bdutipo_str Repositorios
_version_ 1764820522288283650