Analysis of the influence of the privatization of airports on the forecast of passenger demand. The case of Colombia
This paper analyzes the impact of airport privatization on the future development of passenger demand in these privatized airports. The Colombian airport network is used as an application framework because of its important and extensive development of concessions from the liberation of the transport...
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| Formato: | Artículo revista |
| Lenguaje: | Español |
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Facultad de Filosofía y Letras, Universidad de Buenos Aires
2020
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| Acceso en línea: | http://revistascientificas.filo.uba.ar/index.php/rtt/article/view/8408 |
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I28-R264-article-8408 |
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I28-R264-article-84082020-08-03T22:59:02Z Analysis of the influence of the privatization of airports on the forecast of passenger demand. The case of Colombia Análisis de la influencia de la privatización de aeropuertos en el pronóstico de la demanda de pasajeros. El caso de Colombia Díaz Olariaga, Oscar Girón Amaya, Edwin air transport demand airport privatization forecast Colombia transporte aéreo demanda privatización de aeropuerto pronóstico Colombia This paper analyzes the impact of airport privatization on the future development of passenger demand in these privatized airports. The Colombian airport network is used as an application framework because of its important and extensive development of concessions from the liberation of the transport industry in 1991. The research focuses on the influence of airport privatization on the short-term forecast of passenger demand. To estimate the effects on passenger demand of airport privatization, a time series model is developed using the Box-Jenkins methodology, i.e. ARIMAX models. The main results show forecasts of positive growth in demand at most of the airports analyzed. En este trabajo se analiza el impacto de la privatización de aeropuertos en el desarrollo futuro de la demanda de pasajeros en dichos aeropuertos privatizados, y como marco de aplicación se utiliza la red aeroportuaria colombiana, la cual experimenta, desde la liberación de la industria del transporte aéreo (1991), un importante y extenso desarrollo de concesiones. La investigación se centra sobre la influencia de la privatización del aeropuerto en el pronóstico a corto plazo de la demanda de pasajeros. Para estimar los efectos que ejerce sobre la demanda de pasajeros la privatización de los aeropuertos se desarrolla un modelo de series de tiempo empleando la metodología de Box–Jenkins usando modelos ARIMAX. Los principales resultados muestran pronósticos de crecimiento positivo de la demanda en la mayoría de los aeropuertos analizados. Facultad de Filosofía y Letras, Universidad de Buenos Aires 2020-05-30 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion application/pdf http://revistascientificas.filo.uba.ar/index.php/rtt/article/view/8408 10.34096/rtt.i22.8408 Revista Transporte y Territorio; Núm. 22 (2020): Migraciones y territorio 1852-7175 spa http://revistascientificas.filo.uba.ar/index.php/rtt/article/view/8408/7351 |
| institution |
Universidad de Buenos Aires |
| institution_str |
I-28 |
| repository_str |
R-264 |
| container_title_str |
Revista Transporte y Territorio |
| language |
Español |
| format |
Artículo revista |
| topic |
air transport demand airport privatization forecast Colombia transporte aéreo demanda privatización de aeropuerto pronóstico Colombia |
| spellingShingle |
air transport demand airport privatization forecast Colombia transporte aéreo demanda privatización de aeropuerto pronóstico Colombia Díaz Olariaga, Oscar Girón Amaya, Edwin Analysis of the influence of the privatization of airports on the forecast of passenger demand. The case of Colombia |
| topic_facet |
air transport demand airport privatization forecast Colombia transporte aéreo demanda privatización de aeropuerto pronóstico Colombia |
| author |
Díaz Olariaga, Oscar Girón Amaya, Edwin |
| author_facet |
Díaz Olariaga, Oscar Girón Amaya, Edwin |
| author_sort |
Díaz Olariaga, Oscar |
| title |
Analysis of the influence of the privatization of airports on the forecast of passenger demand. The case of Colombia |
| title_short |
Analysis of the influence of the privatization of airports on the forecast of passenger demand. The case of Colombia |
| title_full |
Analysis of the influence of the privatization of airports on the forecast of passenger demand. The case of Colombia |
| title_fullStr |
Analysis of the influence of the privatization of airports on the forecast of passenger demand. The case of Colombia |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Analysis of the influence of the privatization of airports on the forecast of passenger demand. The case of Colombia |
| title_sort |
analysis of the influence of the privatization of airports on the forecast of passenger demand. the case of colombia |
| description |
This paper analyzes the impact of airport privatization on the future development of passenger demand in these privatized airports. The Colombian airport network is used as an application framework because of its important and extensive development of concessions from the liberation of the transport industry in 1991. The research focuses on the influence of airport privatization on the short-term forecast of passenger demand. To estimate the effects on passenger demand of airport privatization, a time series model is developed using the Box-Jenkins methodology, i.e. ARIMAX models. The main results show forecasts of positive growth in demand at most of the airports analyzed. |
| publisher |
Facultad de Filosofía y Letras, Universidad de Buenos Aires |
| publishDate |
2020 |
| url |
http://revistascientificas.filo.uba.ar/index.php/rtt/article/view/8408 |
| work_keys_str_mv |
AT diazolariagaoscar analysisoftheinfluenceoftheprivatizationofairportsontheforecastofpassengerdemandthecaseofcolombia AT gironamayaedwin analysisoftheinfluenceoftheprivatizationofairportsontheforecastofpassengerdemandthecaseofcolombia AT diazolariagaoscar analisisdelainfluenciadelaprivatizaciondeaeropuertosenelpronosticodelademandadepasajeroselcasodecolombia AT gironamayaedwin analisisdelainfluenciadelaprivatizaciondeaeropuertosenelpronosticodelademandadepasajeroselcasodecolombia |
| first_indexed |
2023-06-27T21:23:37Z |
| last_indexed |
2023-06-27T21:23:37Z |
| _version_ |
1769892496868900864 |