Regional indexes of economic activity using a dynamic factor model. Argentina 1997-2019

We estimate a quarterly coincident index of regional economic activity for each Argentinean province between 1997 and 2019. A set of series related to the economic cycle is considered assuming that a common unobservable factor can be estimated using dynamic factor models. The lack of enough official...

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Autores principales: Malvicino, Facundo E., Pereira, Mariano, Trajtenberg, Luis A.
Formato: Artículo publishedVersion
Lenguaje:Español
Publicado: CIMBAGE - IADCOM - Facultad de Ciencias Económicas - Universidad de Buenos Aires 2020
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Acceso en línea:https://ojs.economicas.uba.ar/CIMBAGE/article/view/1943
https://repositoriouba.sisbi.uba.ar/gsdl/cgi-bin/library.cgi?a=d&c=cimbage&d=1943_oai
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Sumario:We estimate a quarterly coincident index of regional economic activity for each Argentinean province between 1997 and 2019. A set of series related to the economic cycle is considered assuming that a common unobservable factor can be estimated using dynamic factor models. The lack of enough official statistics with a homogenous methodology for the estimation of regional economic indexes, justifies this attempt.  The estimation of these indexes allows us to compare the economic cycle between provinces, accepting the trade-off between the homogeneity of the economic variables used in the estimation and the economic specificity of each province.