Analysis of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the public transport system by bus in Brazil: O caso de Belo Horizonte e João Pessoa

This article analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on public transport by bus in two Brazilian metropolia, Belo Horizonte and João Pessoa. Spearman's correlation pointed out a strong relationship between the variation in the number of passengers transported and the restrictive measures t...

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Autores principales: de Oliveira , Leise Kelli, Ribeiro Damasceno Martins , Camila, Rabay , Lígia, Herszon Meira , Leonardo, Alves Maia , Maria Leonor
Formato: Artículo publishedVersion
Lenguaje:Español
Publicado: Facultad de Filosofía y Letras, Universidad de Buenos Aires 2022
Materias:
Bus public transportation. COVID-19 pandemic. Causality analysis.
Transporte público. Pandemia por COVID-19. Análisis de causalidad.
Transporte público por ônibus. Pandemia da COVID-19. Análise de causalidade
Acceso en línea:https://revistascientificas.filo.uba.ar/index.php/rtt/article/view/12213
https://repositoriouba.sisbi.uba.ar/gsdl/cgi-bin/library.cgi?a=d&c=transter&d=12213_oai
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Repositorio Digital de la Universidad de Buenos Aires (UBA) de Universidad de Buenos Aires
id I28-R145-12213_oai
record_format dspace
spelling I28-R145-12213_oai2025-11-17 de Oliveira , Leise Kelli Ribeiro Damasceno Martins , Camila Rabay , Lígia Herszon Meira , Leonardo Alves Maia , Maria Leonor 2022-12-03 This article analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on public transport by bus in two Brazilian metropolia, Belo Horizonte and João Pessoa. Spearman's correlation pointed out a strong relationship between the variation in the number of passengers transported and the restrictive measures to combat the COVID-19 pandemic showing that they probably dictated the use of public transport by the population. However, the correlation between the number of new confirmed cases of COVID-19 and the variation of transported users was weak in Belo Horizonte and insignificant in João Pessoa. Given the influence of the stringency measures, the significant differences in correlation values with the variation of passengers were identified and proven, being 60% in Belo Horizonte and 76% in João Pessoa. The causality test confirmed that the pandemic intensified the drop in demand for public transport. Therefore, the more severe the policy to combat the transmission of the virus, the greater the relationship with the decrease in demand for buses. Thus, the pandemic was responsible for a significant drop in the number of passengers than the estimated trend for the same period. Finally, results show a crisis in the public transport system by bus in Brazil and the urgent need to rethink strategies to attract users to this service. Neste artigo é analisado o impacto da pandemia de COVID-19 no transporte público por ônibus em duas metrópoles brasileiras, Belo Horizonte e João Pessoa. A correlação de Spearman apontou uma forte relação entre a variação no número de passageiros transportados e as medidas restritivas de combate à pandemia do COVID-19, mostrando que as medidas de enfrentamento ao vírus possivelmente ditaram o uso do transporte público pela população. Em contrapartida, a correlação entre o número de novos casos confirmados de COVID-19 e a variação de usuários transportados foi fraca em Belo Horizonte e insignificante em João Pessoa. Tendo em vista a influência das medidas restritivas, foi identificada e comprovada a existência de diferenças significativas dos valores de correlação com a variação de passageiros a depender do nível de rigidez das medidas em vigor. Para mensurar o efeito causal, o teste de causalidade confirmou que a pandemia intensificou a queda na demanda pelo transporte público, sendo de 60% em Belo Horizonte e 76% em João Pessoa. Portanto, quanto mais severa a política de combate à transmissão do vírus, maior a relação com o decréscimo na demanda por ônibus. Assim, a pandemia foi responsável por uma diminuição de passageiros expressivamente maior do que a tendência estimada para o mesmo período. Os resultados evidenciam uma crise no sistema de transporte público por ônibus no Brasil assim como a necessidade de repensar estratégias para atração de usuários de tal forma que o esse serviço atenda as necessidades de mobilidade da população. application/pdf https://revistascientificas.filo.uba.ar/index.php/rtt/article/view/12213 10.34096/rtt.i27.12213 spa Facultad de Filosofía y Letras, Universidad de Buenos Aires https://revistascientificas.filo.uba.ar/index.php/rtt/article/view/12213/11015 Revista Transporte y Territorio; No. 27 (2022): Julio-Diciembre Revista Transporte y Territorio; Núm. 27 (2022): Julio-Diciembre 1852-7175 Bus public transportation. COVID-19 pandemic. Causality analysis. Transporte público. Pandemia por COVID-19. Análisis de causalidad. Transporte público por ônibus. Pandemia da COVID-19. Análise de causalidade Analysis of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the public transport system by bus in Brazil: O caso de Belo Horizonte e João Pessoa Análise do impacto da pandemia da COVID-19 no sistema de transporte coletivo por ônibus: O caso de Belo Horizonte e João Pessoa info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion https://repositoriouba.sisbi.uba.ar/gsdl/cgi-bin/library.cgi?a=d&c=transter&d=12213_oai
institution Universidad de Buenos Aires
institution_str I-28
repository_str R-145
collection Repositorio Digital de la Universidad de Buenos Aires (UBA)
language Español
orig_language_str_mv spa
topic Bus public transportation. COVID-19 pandemic. Causality analysis.
Transporte público. Pandemia por COVID-19. Análisis de causalidad.
Transporte público por ônibus. Pandemia da COVID-19. Análise de causalidade
spellingShingle Bus public transportation. COVID-19 pandemic. Causality analysis.
Transporte público. Pandemia por COVID-19. Análisis de causalidad.
Transporte público por ônibus. Pandemia da COVID-19. Análise de causalidade
de Oliveira , Leise Kelli
Ribeiro Damasceno Martins , Camila
Rabay , Lígia
Herszon Meira , Leonardo
Alves Maia , Maria Leonor
Analysis of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the public transport system by bus in Brazil: O caso de Belo Horizonte e João Pessoa
topic_facet Bus public transportation. COVID-19 pandemic. Causality analysis.
Transporte público. Pandemia por COVID-19. Análisis de causalidad.
Transporte público por ônibus. Pandemia da COVID-19. Análise de causalidade
description This article analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on public transport by bus in two Brazilian metropolia, Belo Horizonte and João Pessoa. Spearman's correlation pointed out a strong relationship between the variation in the number of passengers transported and the restrictive measures to combat the COVID-19 pandemic showing that they probably dictated the use of public transport by the population. However, the correlation between the number of new confirmed cases of COVID-19 and the variation of transported users was weak in Belo Horizonte and insignificant in João Pessoa. Given the influence of the stringency measures, the significant differences in correlation values with the variation of passengers were identified and proven, being 60% in Belo Horizonte and 76% in João Pessoa. The causality test confirmed that the pandemic intensified the drop in demand for public transport. Therefore, the more severe the policy to combat the transmission of the virus, the greater the relationship with the decrease in demand for buses. Thus, the pandemic was responsible for a significant drop in the number of passengers than the estimated trend for the same period. Finally, results show a crisis in the public transport system by bus in Brazil and the urgent need to rethink strategies to attract users to this service.
format Artículo
publishedVersion
author de Oliveira , Leise Kelli
Ribeiro Damasceno Martins , Camila
Rabay , Lígia
Herszon Meira , Leonardo
Alves Maia , Maria Leonor
author_facet de Oliveira , Leise Kelli
Ribeiro Damasceno Martins , Camila
Rabay , Lígia
Herszon Meira , Leonardo
Alves Maia , Maria Leonor
author_sort de Oliveira , Leise Kelli
title Analysis of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the public transport system by bus in Brazil: O caso de Belo Horizonte e João Pessoa
title_short Analysis of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the public transport system by bus in Brazil: O caso de Belo Horizonte e João Pessoa
title_full Analysis of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the public transport system by bus in Brazil: O caso de Belo Horizonte e João Pessoa
title_fullStr Analysis of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the public transport system by bus in Brazil: O caso de Belo Horizonte e João Pessoa
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the public transport system by bus in Brazil: O caso de Belo Horizonte e João Pessoa
title_sort analysis of the impact of the covid-19 pandemic on the public transport system by bus in brazil: o caso de belo horizonte e joão pessoa
publisher Facultad de Filosofía y Letras, Universidad de Buenos Aires
publishDate 2022
url https://revistascientificas.filo.uba.ar/index.php/rtt/article/view/12213
https://repositoriouba.sisbi.uba.ar/gsdl/cgi-bin/library.cgi?a=d&c=transter&d=12213_oai
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