Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity of Río Negro. An application to analyze the economic impact of COVID19

We estimate a monthly coincident index of regional economic activity for the Argentinean province of Río Negro from 2004 to 2020. We considered a set of series related to the economic cycle, assuming that there is a common unobservable factor that we estimate using dynamic factor models. The scarce...

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Autor principal: Malvicino, Facundo E.
Formato: Artículo revista
Lenguaje:Español
Publicado: Centro Universitario Regional Zona Atlántica - Universidad Nacional del Comahue - Argentin 2022
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Acceso en línea:http://revele.uncoma.edu.ar/index.php/Sociales/article/view/4200
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id I22-R128-article-4200
record_format ojs
institution Universidad Nacional del Comahue
institution_str I-22
repository_str R-128
container_title_str Repositorio de Revistas Electrónicas REVELE (UNComahue)
language Español
format Artículo revista
topic Dynamic Factor Models
Economic Cycle
Regional Economies
Modelos de Factores Dinámicos
Ciclo Económico
Economías Regionales
spellingShingle Dynamic Factor Models
Economic Cycle
Regional Economies
Modelos de Factores Dinámicos
Ciclo Económico
Economías Regionales
Malvicino, Facundo E.
Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity of Río Negro. An application to analyze the economic impact of COVID19
topic_facet Dynamic Factor Models
Economic Cycle
Regional Economies
Modelos de Factores Dinámicos
Ciclo Económico
Economías Regionales
author Malvicino, Facundo E.
author_facet Malvicino, Facundo E.
author_sort Malvicino, Facundo E.
title Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity of Río Negro. An application to analyze the economic impact of COVID19
title_short Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity of Río Negro. An application to analyze the economic impact of COVID19
title_full Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity of Río Negro. An application to analyze the economic impact of COVID19
title_fullStr Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity of Río Negro. An application to analyze the economic impact of COVID19
title_full_unstemmed Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity of Río Negro. An application to analyze the economic impact of COVID19
title_sort monthly indicator of economic activity of río negro. an application to analyze the economic impact of covid19
description We estimate a monthly coincident index of regional economic activity for the Argentinean province of Río Negro from 2004 to 2020. We considered a set of series related to the economic cycle, assuming that there is a common unobservable factor that we estimate using dynamic factor models. The scarce and outdated official data for regional economic indexes justify this attempt, although it imposes another methodological problem related to the choice of a benchmark series. Despite the methodological issues, the estimated index reproduces the economic growth of Río Negro, and it allows analyzing the impact of exogenous shocks like COVID-19 on economic activity. The results confirm that the worst economic effect of the pandemic happened during the most stringent sanitary measures between March and April. In December of 2020, the recovery was not enough to reach the pre-pandemic levels of economic activity.
publisher Centro Universitario Regional Zona Atlántica - Universidad Nacional del Comahue - Argentin
publishDate 2022
url http://revele.uncoma.edu.ar/index.php/Sociales/article/view/4200
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first_indexed 2022-08-19T20:23:55Z
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