Space-time correlations in urban sprawl

Understanding demographic and migrational patterns constitutes a great challenge. Millions of individual decisions, motivated by economic, political, demographic, rational and/or emotional reasons underlie the high complexity of demographic dynamics. Significant advances in quantitatively understand...

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Autores principales: Hernando de Castro, Alberto, Hernando, R., Plastino, Ángel Luis
Formato: Articulo
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2014
Materias:
Acceso en línea:http://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/handle/10915/85252
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id I19-R120-10915-85252
record_format dspace
institution Universidad Nacional de La Plata
institution_str I-19
repository_str R-120
collection SEDICI (UNLP)
language Inglés
topic Física
Social dynamics
Space-time correlations
Urban growth
spellingShingle Física
Social dynamics
Space-time correlations
Urban growth
Hernando de Castro, Alberto
Hernando, R.
Plastino, Ángel Luis
Space-time correlations in urban sprawl
topic_facet Física
Social dynamics
Space-time correlations
Urban growth
description Understanding demographic and migrational patterns constitutes a great challenge. Millions of individual decisions, motivated by economic, political, demographic, rational and/or emotional reasons underlie the high complexity of demographic dynamics. Significant advances in quantitatively understanding such complexity have been registered in recent years, as those involving the growth of cities but many fundamental issues still defy comprehension. We present here compelling empirical evidence of a high level of regularity regarding time and spatial correlations in urban sprawl, unravelling patterns about the inertia in the growth of cities and their interaction with each other. By using one of the world's most exhaustive extant demographic data basis - that of the Spanish Government's Institute INE, with records covering 111 years and (in 2011) 45 million people, distributed among more than 8000 population nuclei - we show that the inertia of city growth has a characteristic time of 15 years, and its interaction with the growth of other cities has a characteristic distance of 80 km. Distance is shown to be the main factor that entangles two cities (60% of total correlations). The power of our current social theories is thereby enhanced.
format Articulo
Articulo
author Hernando de Castro, Alberto
Hernando, R.
Plastino, Ángel Luis
author_facet Hernando de Castro, Alberto
Hernando, R.
Plastino, Ángel Luis
author_sort Hernando de Castro, Alberto
title Space-time correlations in urban sprawl
title_short Space-time correlations in urban sprawl
title_full Space-time correlations in urban sprawl
title_fullStr Space-time correlations in urban sprawl
title_full_unstemmed Space-time correlations in urban sprawl
title_sort space-time correlations in urban sprawl
publishDate 2014
url http://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/handle/10915/85252
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