Abortion legalization and adolescent fertility: new evidence for Uruguay based on the synthetic control method

Following abortion legalization in Uruguay in late 2012, adolescent fertility rate fell by more than half. This paper aims at establishing a causality relationship. To estimate the impact of the abortion reform on adolescent fertility I use the Synthetic Control Method by comparing trends of Uruguay...

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Autor principal: Velázquez Battistessa, Cecilia
Formato: Articulo Documento de trabajo
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2024
Materias:
Ciencias Económicas
Abortion legalization
Adolescent fertility
Synthetic control method
Latin America and the Caribbean
Uruguay
Acceso en línea:http://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/handle/10915/172980
Aporte de:
SEDICI (UNLP) de Universidad Nacional de La Plata
id I19-R120-10915-172980
record_format dspace
spelling I19-R120-10915-1729802024-11-13T20:09:30Z http://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/handle/10915/172980 Abortion legalization and adolescent fertility: new evidence for Uruguay based on the synthetic control method Velázquez Battistessa, Cecilia 2024-11 2024-11-13T17:59:29Z en Ciencias Económicas Abortion legalization Adolescent fertility Synthetic control method Latin America and the Caribbean Uruguay Following abortion legalization in Uruguay in late 2012, adolescent fertility rate fell by more than half. This paper aims at establishing a causality relationship. To estimate the impact of the abortion reform on adolescent fertility I use the Synthetic Control Method by comparing trends of Uruguay with Latin America and the Caribbean countries with restrictive abortion laws. Results suggest adolescent fertility rate was reduced in the postreform period by an average of 8.3 births per 1,000 girls aged 15-19, a decline of almost 15% with respect to the synthetic control unit. In-space placebos indicate this effect is statistically significant at the 5% level. This conclusion holds after conducting an in-time placebo test and a leave-one-out test. To the present time, evidence on the impact of Uruguayan abortion legalization on adolescent fertility that has addressed endogeneity is mixed, and based entirely on identification strategies that exploit different sources of exogenous within-country variation that determines the exposure to the reform. My contribution here is to exploit between-country variation, bringing new evidence to the on-going debate. Centro de Estudios Distributivos, Laborales y Sociales Articulo Documento de trabajo http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) application/pdf
institution Universidad Nacional de La Plata
institution_str I-19
repository_str R-120
collection SEDICI (UNLP)
language Inglés
topic Ciencias Económicas
Abortion legalization
Adolescent fertility
Synthetic control method
Latin America and the Caribbean
Uruguay
spellingShingle Ciencias Económicas
Abortion legalization
Adolescent fertility
Synthetic control method
Latin America and the Caribbean
Uruguay
Velázquez Battistessa, Cecilia
Abortion legalization and adolescent fertility: new evidence for Uruguay based on the synthetic control method
topic_facet Ciencias Económicas
Abortion legalization
Adolescent fertility
Synthetic control method
Latin America and the Caribbean
Uruguay
description Following abortion legalization in Uruguay in late 2012, adolescent fertility rate fell by more than half. This paper aims at establishing a causality relationship. To estimate the impact of the abortion reform on adolescent fertility I use the Synthetic Control Method by comparing trends of Uruguay with Latin America and the Caribbean countries with restrictive abortion laws. Results suggest adolescent fertility rate was reduced in the postreform period by an average of 8.3 births per 1,000 girls aged 15-19, a decline of almost 15% with respect to the synthetic control unit. In-space placebos indicate this effect is statistically significant at the 5% level. This conclusion holds after conducting an in-time placebo test and a leave-one-out test. To the present time, evidence on the impact of Uruguayan abortion legalization on adolescent fertility that has addressed endogeneity is mixed, and based entirely on identification strategies that exploit different sources of exogenous within-country variation that determines the exposure to the reform. My contribution here is to exploit between-country variation, bringing new evidence to the on-going debate.
format Articulo
Documento de trabajo
author Velázquez Battistessa, Cecilia
author_facet Velázquez Battistessa, Cecilia
author_sort Velázquez Battistessa, Cecilia
title Abortion legalization and adolescent fertility: new evidence for Uruguay based on the synthetic control method
title_short Abortion legalization and adolescent fertility: new evidence for Uruguay based on the synthetic control method
title_full Abortion legalization and adolescent fertility: new evidence for Uruguay based on the synthetic control method
title_fullStr Abortion legalization and adolescent fertility: new evidence for Uruguay based on the synthetic control method
title_full_unstemmed Abortion legalization and adolescent fertility: new evidence for Uruguay based on the synthetic control method
title_sort abortion legalization and adolescent fertility: new evidence for uruguay based on the synthetic control method
publishDate 2024
url http://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/handle/10915/172980
work_keys_str_mv AT velazquezbattistessacecilia abortionlegalizationandadolescentfertilitynewevidenceforuruguaybasedonthesyntheticcontrolmethod
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