A stochastic evaluation of the validity of an animal-health survey in Uruguay

This paper introduces spreadsheet simulation models to evaluate the validity of national or regional disease surveys aimed at identifying infection in populations of farm animals. The process of evaluation includes specification or calculation of cluster-level diagnostic test sensitivity (the propor...

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Autores principales: Suzuki, Kuniaki, Galosi, Cecilia Mónica, Echeverría, María Gabriela, Satragno, D., Alzugaray, F., Torres, E. de, Guarino, H., Freyre, A., Wager, Felix C.
Formato: Libro Capitulo de libro
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Nova Science Publishers 2010
Materias:
Acceso en línea:http://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/handle/10915/150734
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id I19-R120-10915-150734
record_format dspace
institution Universidad Nacional de La Plata
institution_str I-19
repository_str R-120
collection SEDICI (UNLP)
language Inglés
topic Ciencias Veterinarias
Estadísticas sanitarias
Animales de granja
Uruguay
spellingShingle Ciencias Veterinarias
Estadísticas sanitarias
Animales de granja
Uruguay
Suzuki, Kuniaki
Galosi, Cecilia Mónica
Echeverría, María Gabriela
Satragno, D.
Alzugaray, F.
Torres, E. de
Guarino, H.
Freyre, A.
Wager, Felix C.
A stochastic evaluation of the validity of an animal-health survey in Uruguay
topic_facet Ciencias Veterinarias
Estadísticas sanitarias
Animales de granja
Uruguay
description This paper introduces spreadsheet simulation models to evaluate the validity of national or regional disease surveys aimed at identifying infection in populations of farm animals. The process of evaluation includes specification or calculation of cluster-level diagnostic test sensitivity (the proportion of animals with the disease which test positive) and specificity (the proportion of animals without the disease which test negative), which are obtained from two probability distributions of the number of positive tests at individual-level expected from infected and non-infected clusters, respectively. Probability distributions for the number of positive clusters expected in a situation of the herd prevalence are specified and used to define survey properties (the survey being considered a diagnostic system), and receiver operating characteristic curves (consisting of a plot of sensitivity and specificity pairs for different cut-off values) are drawn. The result of a survey implemented to determine the prevalence of infectious bovine rhinotracheitis in dairy cattle in Uruguay, South America was used to illustrate this approach. The models can be adapted to a wide range of survey designs in animal health and production.
format Libro
Capitulo de libro
author Suzuki, Kuniaki
Galosi, Cecilia Mónica
Echeverría, María Gabriela
Satragno, D.
Alzugaray, F.
Torres, E. de
Guarino, H.
Freyre, A.
Wager, Felix C.
author_facet Suzuki, Kuniaki
Galosi, Cecilia Mónica
Echeverría, María Gabriela
Satragno, D.
Alzugaray, F.
Torres, E. de
Guarino, H.
Freyre, A.
Wager, Felix C.
author_sort Suzuki, Kuniaki
title A stochastic evaluation of the validity of an animal-health survey in Uruguay
title_short A stochastic evaluation of the validity of an animal-health survey in Uruguay
title_full A stochastic evaluation of the validity of an animal-health survey in Uruguay
title_fullStr A stochastic evaluation of the validity of an animal-health survey in Uruguay
title_full_unstemmed A stochastic evaluation of the validity of an animal-health survey in Uruguay
title_sort stochastic evaluation of the validity of an animal-health survey in uruguay
publisher Nova Science Publishers
publishDate 2010
url http://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/handle/10915/150734
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