Risk analysis of technological hazards: Simulation of scenarios and application of a local vulnerability index

The potential impact of a technological accident can be assessed by risk estimation. Taking this into account, the latent or potential condition can be warned and mitigated. In this work we propose a methodology to estimate risk of technological hazards, focused on two components. The first one is t...

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Autores principales: Sanchez, Erica Yanina, Represa, Natacha Soledad, Mellado, Daniela, Balbi, Karina Beatriz, Acquesta, A. D., Colman Lerner, Jorge Esteban, Porta, Atilio Andrés
Formato: Articulo
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:http://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/handle/10915/137593
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id I19-R120-10915-137593
record_format dspace
institution Universidad Nacional de La Plata
institution_str I-19
repository_str R-120
collection SEDICI (UNLP)
language Inglés
topic Química
Social vulnerability
Technological incident
Worst-case scenario
ALOHA
INDEC
spellingShingle Química
Social vulnerability
Technological incident
Worst-case scenario
ALOHA
INDEC
Sanchez, Erica Yanina
Represa, Natacha Soledad
Mellado, Daniela
Balbi, Karina Beatriz
Acquesta, A. D.
Colman Lerner, Jorge Esteban
Porta, Atilio Andrés
Risk analysis of technological hazards: Simulation of scenarios and application of a local vulnerability index
topic_facet Química
Social vulnerability
Technological incident
Worst-case scenario
ALOHA
INDEC
description The potential impact of a technological accident can be assessed by risk estimation. Taking this into account, the latent or potential condition can be warned and mitigated. In this work we propose a methodology to estimate risk of technological hazards, focused on two components. The first one is the processing of meteorological databases to define the most probably and conservative scenario of study, and the second one, is the application of a local social vulnerability index to classify the population. In this case of study, the risk was estimated for a hypothetical release of liquefied ammonia in a meat-packing industry in the city of La Plata, Argentina. The method consists in integrating the simulated toxic threat zone with ALOHA software, and the layer of sociodemographic classification of the affected population. The results show the areas associated with higher risks of exposure to ammonia, which are worth being addressed for the prevention of disasters in the region. Advantageously, this systemic approach is methodologically flexible as it provides the possibility of being applied in various scenarios based on the available information of both, the exposed population and its meteorology. Furthermore, this methodology optimizes the processing of the input data and its calculation.
format Articulo
Articulo
author Sanchez, Erica Yanina
Represa, Natacha Soledad
Mellado, Daniela
Balbi, Karina Beatriz
Acquesta, A. D.
Colman Lerner, Jorge Esteban
Porta, Atilio Andrés
author_facet Sanchez, Erica Yanina
Represa, Natacha Soledad
Mellado, Daniela
Balbi, Karina Beatriz
Acquesta, A. D.
Colman Lerner, Jorge Esteban
Porta, Atilio Andrés
author_sort Sanchez, Erica Yanina
title Risk analysis of technological hazards: Simulation of scenarios and application of a local vulnerability index
title_short Risk analysis of technological hazards: Simulation of scenarios and application of a local vulnerability index
title_full Risk analysis of technological hazards: Simulation of scenarios and application of a local vulnerability index
title_fullStr Risk analysis of technological hazards: Simulation of scenarios and application of a local vulnerability index
title_full_unstemmed Risk analysis of technological hazards: Simulation of scenarios and application of a local vulnerability index
title_sort risk analysis of technological hazards: simulation of scenarios and application of a local vulnerability index
publishDate 2018
url http://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/handle/10915/137593
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