Fundamentos da Economia, Mercado Financeiro e Intenção de Voto: As Eleições Presidenciais Brasileiras de 1994, 1998 e 2002

This article explores the relationship between macroeconomic indicators, financial markets, and voting intentions in the 1994, 1998, and 2002 Brazilian Presidential elections. Several hypotheses concerning the relationship between economic performance and politics were tested using a data set contai...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Lúcio Rennó, Anthony P. Spanakos
Formato: Artículo científico
Publicado: Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro 2006
Materias:
Sociología
Presidential elections
economic indicators
election preferences
Acceso en línea:http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=21849102
http://biblioteca.clacso.edu.ar/gsdl/cgi-bin/library.cgi?a=d&c=br/br-022&d=21849102oai
Aporte de:
Red de Bibliotecas Virtuales de Ciencias Sociales (CLACSO) de Consejo Latinoamericano de Ciencias Sociales
id I16-R122-21849102oai
record_format dspace
institution Consejo Latinoamericano de Ciencias Sociales
institution_str I-16
repository_str R-122
collection Red de Bibliotecas Virtuales de Ciencias Sociales (CLACSO)
topic Sociología
Presidential elections
economic indicators
election preferences
spellingShingle Sociología
Presidential elections
economic indicators
election preferences
Lúcio Rennó
Anthony P. Spanakos
Fundamentos da Economia, Mercado Financeiro e Intenção de Voto: As Eleições Presidenciais Brasileiras de 1994, 1998 e 2002
topic_facet Sociología
Presidential elections
economic indicators
election preferences
description This article explores the relationship between macroeconomic indicators, financial markets, and voting intentions in the 1994, 1998, and 2002 Brazilian Presidential elections. Several hypotheses concerning the relationship between economic performance and politics were tested using a data set containing aggregate measures of self-reported preferences for the Presidential candidates and economic indicators (inflation, unemployment, exchange rate, C-Bond spread, and the São Paulo Stock Exchange Index). The first hypothesis refers to the potential simultaneity between economic indicators and voting intentions. Other hypotheses relate to the varied impact of different economic indicators on the intention to vote for a specific Presidential candidate as opposed to others. The results indicate that retrospective voting, based on the performance of economic fundamentals and not the financial market, predominates in Brazil.
format Artículo científico
Artículo científico
author Lúcio Rennó
Anthony P. Spanakos
author_facet Lúcio Rennó
Anthony P. Spanakos
author_sort Lúcio Rennó
title Fundamentos da Economia, Mercado Financeiro e Intenção de Voto: As Eleições Presidenciais Brasileiras de 1994, 1998 e 2002
title_short Fundamentos da Economia, Mercado Financeiro e Intenção de Voto: As Eleições Presidenciais Brasileiras de 1994, 1998 e 2002
title_full Fundamentos da Economia, Mercado Financeiro e Intenção de Voto: As Eleições Presidenciais Brasileiras de 1994, 1998 e 2002
title_fullStr Fundamentos da Economia, Mercado Financeiro e Intenção de Voto: As Eleições Presidenciais Brasileiras de 1994, 1998 e 2002
title_full_unstemmed Fundamentos da Economia, Mercado Financeiro e Intenção de Voto: As Eleições Presidenciais Brasileiras de 1994, 1998 e 2002
title_sort fundamentos da economia, mercado financeiro e intenção de voto: as eleições presidenciais brasileiras de 1994, 1998 e 2002
publisher Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro
publishDate 2006
url http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=21849102
http://biblioteca.clacso.edu.ar/gsdl/cgi-bin/library.cgi?a=d&c=br/br-022&d=21849102oai
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AT anthonypspanakos fundamentosdaeconomiamercadofinanceiroeintencaodevotoaseleicoespresidenciaisbrasileirasde19941998e2002
bdutipo_str Repositorios
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