Regional climate change experiments over southern South America. II: Climate change scenarios in the late twenty-first century
We present an analysis of climate change over southern South America as simulated by a regional climate model. The regional model MM5 was nested within time-slice global atmospheric model experiments conducted by the HadAM3H model. The simulations cover a 10-year period representing present-day clim...
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2009
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| LEADER | 08088caa a22007217a 4500 | ||
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| 001 | PAPER-9008 | ||
| 003 | AR-BaUEN | ||
| 005 | 20230518203852.0 | ||
| 008 | 190411s2009 xx ||||fo|||| 00| 0 eng|d | ||
| 024 | 7 | |2 scopus |a 2-s2.0-67349168405 | |
| 040 | |a Scopus |b spa |c AR-BaUEN |d AR-BaUEN | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Nuez, M.N. | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Regional climate change experiments over southern South America. II: Climate change scenarios in the late twenty-first century |
| 260 | |c 2009 | ||
| 270 | 1 | 0 | |m Nuñez, M.N.; Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera (CIMA-CONICET/UBA), DCAO, FCEyN-UBA, Pabellón II, Piso 2, Buenos Aires 1428, Argentina; email: mnunez@cima.fcen.uba.ar |
| 506 | |2 openaire |e Política editorial | ||
| 504 | |a Barros, V.R., Castañeda, M.E., Doyle, M.E., Recent precipitation trends in southern South America east of the Andes: An indication of climatic variability (2000) Southern Hemisphere Paleo-and Neoclimates. Key Sites, Methods, Data and Models, pp. 187-206. , In: Smolka PP, Volkheimer W (eds) Springer, Berlin | ||
| 504 | |a Christensen, J.H., Carter, T.R., Rummukainen, M., Amanatidis, G., Evaluating the performance and utility of regional climate models: The PRUDENCE project (2007) Clim Change, 81, pp. 1-6. , doi: 10.1007/s10584-006-9211-6 | ||
| 504 | |a Ciappesoni, H.H., Fernández, A.E., Nuñez, M.N., Impactos de la urbanización y de los cambios en el uso de la tierra en Argentina (2005), CD Anales IX Congreso Argentino de Meteorología (CONGREMET IX), 9 áginas, ISBN 987-22411-0-4; Gan, M., Rao, V., The influence of the Andes Cordillera on transient disturbances (1994) Mon Weather Rev, 122, pp. 1141-1157. , doi: 10.1175/1520-0493(1994)122<1141:TIOTAC>2.0.CO;2 | ||
| 504 | |a Grell, G.A., Dudhia, J., Stauffer, D.R., (1993) A Description of the Fifth-generation Penn System/NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5), p. 107. , NCAR Tech Note NCAR/TN-398+1A | ||
| 504 | |a Hayashi, Y., Confidence intervals of a climatic signal (1982) J Atmos Sci, 39, pp. 1895-1905. , doi: 10.1175/1520-0469(1982)039<1895:CIOACS>2.0.CO;2 | ||
| 504 | |a Haylock, M.R., Peterson, T.C., Alves, L.M., Ambrizzi, T., Anunciação, Y.M., Baez, J., Trends in total and extreme South American rainfall in 1960-2000 and links with sea surface temperature (2006) J Clim, 19, pp. 1490-1512. , doi: 10.1175/JCLI3695.1 | ||
| 504 | |a (2000) Emission Scenarios, A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental on Climate Change, p. 599. , IPCC Nakicenovic N Coordinating Lead Author. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge | ||
| 504 | |a Jones, R.G., Murphy, J.M., Hassell, D., Taylor, R., Ensamble mean changes in a simulation of the Eiropean mean climate of 2071-2100 using the new Hadley Centre regional modeling system HadAM3H/ HadRM3H (2001), p. 19. , Hadley Centre Report; Mearns, NARCCAP (North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program). A multiple AOGCM and RCM climate scenario project over North America (2005) AMS 16th Conference on Climate Variations and Change, pp. 235-238 | ||
| 504 | |a Meehl, G.A., Stocker, T.F., Collins, W.D., Friedlingstein, P., Gaye, A.T., Gregory, J.M., Global climate projections (2007) Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, , In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignir M, Miller HL (eds) Contributions of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge | ||
| 504 | |a Nũez, M.N., Ciapessoni, H.H., Rolla, A., Kalnay, E., Cai, M., Impact of land-use and precipitation changes on surface temperature trends in Argentina (2007) J Geophys Res, , (in press) | ||
| 504 | |a Pope, V.D., Gallani, M.L., Rowntree, P.R., Stratton, R.A., The impact of new physical parameterizations in the Hadley Centre climate model (2000) Clim Dyn, 16, pp. 123-146. , doi: 10.1007/s003820050009 | ||
| 504 | |a Solman, S., Nũez, M., Cabré, M.F., Regional climate change experiments over southern South America. I: Present climate (2008) Clim Dyn, 30, pp. 533-552. , doi: 10.1007/s00382-007-0304-3 | ||
| 504 | |a Sun, Y., Solomon, S., Aiguo, D., Portman, R.W., How often will it rain? (2007) J Clim, 20, pp. 4801-4818. , doi: 10.1175/JCLI4263.1 | ||
| 504 | |a Vera, C.S., Vigliarolo, P.K., Berbery, H., Cold season synoptic scale waves over subtropical South America (2002) Mon Weather Rev, 130, pp. 684-699. , doi: 10.1175/1520-0493(2002)130<0684:CSSSWO>2.0.CO;2 | ||
| 504 | |a Whetton, P.H., Katzfey, J.J., Hennessy, K.J., Wu, X., McGregor, J.L., Nguyen, K.C., Developing scenarios of climate change for Southeastern Australia: An example using regional climate model output (2001) Clim Res, 16, pp. 181-201. , doi: 10.3354/cr016181 | ||
| 520 | 3 | |a We present an analysis of climate change over southern South America as simulated by a regional climate model. The regional model MM5 was nested within time-slice global atmospheric model experiments conducted by the HadAM3H model. The simulations cover a 10-year period representing present-day climate (1981-1990) and two future scenarios for the SRESA2 and B2 emission scenarios for the period 2081-2090. There are a few quantitative differences between the two regional scenarios. The simulated changes are larger for the A2 than the B2 scenario, although with few qualitative differences. For the two regional scenarios, the warming in southern Brazil, Paraguay, Bolivia and northeastern Argentina is particularly large in spring. Over the western coast of South America both scenarios project a general decrease in precipitation. Both the A2 and B2 simulations show a general increase in precipitation in northern and central Argentina especially in summer and fall and a general decrease in precipitation in winter and spring. In fall the simulations agree on a general decrease in precipitation in southern Brazil. This reflects changes in the atmospheric circulation during winter and spring. Changes in mean sea level pressure show a cell of increasing pressure centered somewhere in the southern Atlantic Ocean and southern Pacific Ocean, mainly during summer and fall in the Atlantic and in spring in the Pacific. In relation to the pressure distribution in the control run, this indicates a southward extension of the summer mean Atlantic and Pacific subtropical highs. © Springer-Verlag 2008. |l eng | |
| 593 | |a Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atḿsfera (CIMA-CONICET/UBA), DCAO, FCEyN-UBA, Pabellón II, Piso 2, Buenos Aires 1428, Argentina | ||
| 593 | |a Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atḿsfera (CIMA-CONICET/UBA), Pabellón II, Piso 2, Buenos Aires 1428, Argentina | ||
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELING |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a CLIMATE CHANGE |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a CLIMATE MODELING |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a REGIONAL CLIMATE |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a SEA LEVEL PRESSURE |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a SIMULATION |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a TWENTY FIRST CENTURY |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a ATLANTIC OCEAN |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a ATLANTIC OCEAN (SOUTH) |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a BRAZIL |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a PACIFIC OCEAN |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a PACIFIC OCEAN (SOUTH) |
| 651 | 4 | |a SOUTHERN SOUTH AMERICA | |
| 651 | 4 | |a BOLIVIA | |
| 651 | 4 | |a PARAGUAY | |
| 651 | 4 | |a SOUTH AMERICA | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Solman, S.A. | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Cabré, M.F. | |
| 773 | 0 | |d 2009 |g v. 32 |h pp. 1081-1095 |k n. 7-8 |p Clim. Dyn. |x 09307575 |w (AR-BaUEN)CENRE-567 |t Climate Dynamics | |
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| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0449-8 |y DOI |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_09307575_v32_n7-8_p1081_Nuez |y Handle |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_09307575_v32_n7-8_p1081_Nuez |y Registro en la Biblioteca Digital |
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