Low-level wind forecast over the La Plata River region with a mesoscale boundary-layer model forced by regional operational forecasts
A mesoscale boundary-layer model (BLM) is used for running 12-h low-level wind forecasts for the La Plata River region. Several experiments are performed with different boundary conditions that include operational forecasts of the Eta/CPTEC model, local observations, as well as a combination of both...
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| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
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2009
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| Acceso en línea: | Registro en Scopus DOI Handle Registro en la Biblioteca Digital |
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| LEADER | 08871caa a22010457a 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | PAPER-8980 | ||
| 003 | AR-BaUEN | ||
| 005 | 20230518203851.0 | ||
| 008 | 190411s2009 xx ||||fo|||| 00| 0 eng|d | ||
| 024 | 7 | |2 scopus |a 2-s2.0-60649105007 | |
| 040 | |a Scopus |b spa |c AR-BaUEN |d AR-BaUEN | ||
| 030 | |a BLMEB | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Sraibman, L. | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Low-level wind forecast over the La Plata River region with a mesoscale boundary-layer model forced by regional operational forecasts |
| 260 | |c 2009 | ||
| 270 | 1 | 0 | |m Sraibman, L.; Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina; email: laurasra@at.fcen.uba.ar |
| 506 | |2 openaire |e Política editorial | ||
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| 504 | |a Case, J.L., Manobianco, J., Lane, J.E., Immer, C.D., Merceret, F.J., An objective technique for verifying sea breezes in high-resolution numerical weather prediction models (2004) Weather Forecast, 19, pp. 690-705 | ||
| 504 | |a Colby Jr., F.P., Simulation of the New England sea breeze: The effect of grid spacing (2004) Weather Forecast, 19, pp. 277-285 | ||
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| 504 | |a Daggupaty, S.M., A case study of the simultaneous development of multiple lake-breeze fronts with a boundary layer forecast model (2001) J Appl Meteorol, 40, pp. 289-311 | ||
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| 504 | |a Mesinger, F., Black, T.L., On the impact on forecast accuracy of the step-mountain (eta) vs. sigma coordinate (1992) Meteorol Atmos Phys, 50, pp. 47-60 | ||
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| 504 | |a Roebber, P.J., Gehring, M.G., Real-time prediction of the lake breeze on the western shore of Lake Michigan (2000) Weather Forecast, 15, pp. 298-312 | ||
| 504 | |a Seluchi, M.E., Chou, S.C., Evaluation of two Eta model versions over South America (2001) Rev Geofis, 40, pp. 219-238 | ||
| 504 | |a White, B.G., Paegle, J., Steenburgh, J.W., Horel, J.D., Swanson, R.T., Cook, L.K., Onton, D.J., Miles, J.G., Short-term forecast validation of six models (1999) Weather Forecast, 14, pp. 84-108 | ||
| 504 | |a Wilks, D.S., (1995) Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, p. 240. , Academic Press, New York | ||
| 504 | |a Zhang, Y., Chen, Y., Schroeder, T.H., Kodama, K., Numerical simulations of sea-breeze circulations over northwest Hawaii (2005) Weather Forecast, 20, pp. 827-846 | ||
| 504 | |a Zhong, S., Fast, J., An evaluation of the MM5, RAMS, and Meso-Eta models at subkilometer resolution using VTMX field campaign data in the Salt Lake Valley (2003) Mon Wea Rev, 131, pp. 1301-1322 | ||
| 520 | 3 | |a A mesoscale boundary-layer model (BLM) is used for running 12-h low-level wind forecasts for the La Plata River region. Several experiments are performed with different boundary conditions that include operational forecasts of the Eta/CPTEC model, local observations, as well as a combination of both. The BLM wind forecasts are compared to the surface wind observations of five weather stations during the period November 2003-April 2004. Two accuracy measures are used: the hit rate or percentage of cases with agreement in the wind direction sector, and the root-mean-squared error (RMSE) of the horizontal wind components. The BLM surface wind forecasts are always more accurate, since its averaged hit rate is three times greater and its averaged RMSE is one half smaller than the Eta forecasts. Despite the large errors in the surface winds displayed by the Eta forecasts, its 850 hPa winds and surface temperature forecasts are able to drive the BLM model to obtain surface winds forecasts with smaller errors than the Eta model. An additional experiment demonstrates that the advantage of using the BLM model for forecasting low-level winds over the La Plata River region is the result of a more appropriate definition of the land-river surface temperature contrast. The particular formulation that the BLM model has for the geometry of the river coasts is fundamental for resolving the smaller scale details of the low-level local circulation. The main conclusion of the study is that operational low-level wind forecasts for the La Plata River region can be improved by running the BLM model forced by the Eta operational forecasts. © Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2009. |l eng | |
| 536 | |a Detalles de la financiación: Agencia Nacional de Promoción Científica y Tecnológica | ||
| 536 | |a Detalles de la financiación: Universidad de Buenos Aires, PICT2005-38193 | ||
| 536 | |a Detalles de la financiación: Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, UBACYT X835 | ||
| 536 | |a Detalles de la financiación: Acknowledgments This research was partially supported by research grants PIP5575 from Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET) of Argentina, UBACYT X835 from Universidad de Buenos Aires and PICT2005-38193 from Agencia Nacional de Promoción Científica y Tecnológica of Argentina. The authors are grateful to Marcelo Seluchi from CPTEC for providing the Eta model forecasts, and to Diana Rodriguez from the National Meteorological Service of Argentina for preparing the satellite image. L. Sraibman acknowledges CONICET for granting a doctoral fellowship. The article is based on L. Sraibman’s Ph.D. thesis at the University of Buenos Aires. | ||
| 593 | |a Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina | ||
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a BOUNDARY-LAYER MODEL |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a LOW-LEVEL WIND FORECAST |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a MODEL COUPLING |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a BOUNDARY LAYERS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a ERRORS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a LANTHANUM |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a RIVERS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a SURFACE PROPERTIES |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a WIND |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a 850-HPA |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a ACCURACY MEASURES |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a BOUNDARY-LAYER MODEL |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a DIFFERENT BOUNDARY CONDITIONS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a HIT RATES |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a HORIZONTAL WINDS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a LOW-LEVEL WIND FORECAST |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a MESO-SCALE |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a MODEL COUPLING |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a OPERATIONAL FORECASTS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a ROOT-MEAN-SQUARED |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a SURFACE TEMPERATURES |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a SURFACE WINDS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a WEATHER STATIONS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a WIND DIRECTIONS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a WIND FORECASTS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a WEATHER FORECASTING |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a ACCURACY ASSESSMENT |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a BOUNDARY CONDITION |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a BOUNDARY LAYER |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a COUPLING |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a NUMERICAL MODEL |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a SURFACE TEMPERATURE |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a SURFACE WIND |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a WEATHER FORECASTING |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a WEATHER STATION |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a WIND DIRECTION |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a LA PLATA BASIN |
| 651 | 4 | |a SOUTH AMERICA | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Berri, G.J. | |
| 773 | 0 | |d 2009 |g v. 130 |h pp. 407-422 |k n. 3 |p Boundary-Layer Meteorol. |x 00068314 |w (AR-BaUEN)CENRE-71 |t Boundary-Layer Meteorology | |
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| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_00068314_v130_n3_p407_Sraibman |y Handle |
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