Projected precipitation changes in South America: A dynamical downscaling within CLARIS
Responses of precipitation seasonal means and extremes over South America in a downscaling of a climate change scenario are assessed with the Rossby Centre Regional Atmospheric Model (RCA). The anthropogenic warming under AlB scenario influences more on the likelihood of occurrence of severe extreme...
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2010
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| LEADER | 13227caa a22012857a 4500 | ||
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| 001 | PAPER-7738 | ||
| 003 | AR-BaUEN | ||
| 005 | 20230518203730.0 | ||
| 008 | 190411s2010 xx ||||fo|||| 00| 0 eng|d | ||
| 024 | 7 | |2 scopus |a 2-s2.0-78649771421 | |
| 040 | |a Scopus |b spa |c AR-BaUEN |d AR-BaUEN | ||
| 030 | |a MEZEE | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Sörensson, A.A. | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Projected precipitation changes in South America: A dynamical downscaling within CLARIS |
| 260 | |c 2010 | ||
| 270 | 1 | 0 | |m Sörensson, A. A.; Centro de Investigaciones Del Mar y la Atmósfera, CONICET/UBA, Buenos Aires, Argentina; email: sorensson@cima.fcen.uba.ar |
| 506 | |2 openaire |e Política editorial | ||
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| 520 | 3 | |a Responses of precipitation seasonal means and extremes over South America in a downscaling of a climate change scenario are assessed with the Rossby Centre Regional Atmospheric Model (RCA). The anthropogenic warming under AlB scenario influences more on the likelihood of occurrence of severe extreme events like heavy precipitation and dry spells than on the mean seasonal precipitation. The risk of extreme precipitation increases in the La Plata Basin with a factor of 1.5-2.5 during all seasons and in the northwestern part of the continent with a factor 1.5-3 in summer, while it decreases in central and northeastern Brazil during winter and spring. The maximum amount of 5-days precipitation increases by up to 50 % in La Plata Basin, indicating risks of flooding. Over central Brazil and the Bolivian lowland, where present 5-days precipitation is higher, the increases are similar in magnitude and could cause less impacts. In southern Amazonia, northeastern Brazil and the Amazon basin, the maximum number of consecutive dry days increases and mean winter and spring precipitation decreases, indicating a longer dry season. In the La Plata Basin, there is no clear pattern of change for the dry spell duration. © Gebrüder Borntraeger, Stuttgart 2010. |l eng | |
| 593 | |a Centro de Investigaciones Del Mar y la Atmósfera, CONICET/UBA, Buenos Aires, Argentina | ||
| 593 | |a Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Los Océanos, FCEN, UBA, Buenos Aires, Argentina | ||
| 593 | |a Departamento de Física, FCEN, UBA, Buenos Aires, Argentina | ||
| 593 | |a Rossby Centre, SMHI, Norrköping, Sweden | ||
| 593 | |a CIMA/CONICET/UBA Pabellón 2, Piso 2, Ciudad Universitaria, 1428 Buenos Aires, Argentina | ||
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a AMAZON BASIN |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a AMAZONIA |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a ATMOSPHERIC MODEL |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a DOWN-SCALING |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a DRY SEASONS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a DRY SPELLS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a DYNAMICAL DOWNSCALING |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a EXTREME EVENTS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a EXTREME PRECIPITATION |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a HEAVY PRECIPITATION |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a LA PLATA BASIN |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a NORTHEASTERN BRAZIL |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a PRECIPITATION CHANGE |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a SEASONAL MEAN |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a SEASONAL PRECIPITATIONS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a SPRING PRECIPITATION |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a CLIMATE MODELS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a DROUGHT |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a CLIMATE CHANGE |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a ATMOSPHERIC MODELING |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a CLIMATE CHANGE |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a CONFERENCE PROCEEDING |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a DOWNSCALING |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a FLOODING |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY) |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a RISK ASSESSMENT |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a SEASONAL VARIATION |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a SPRING (SEASON) |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a WEATHER FORECASTING |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a WINTER |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a AMAZON BASIN |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a BRAZIL |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a LA PLATA BASIN |
| 651 | 4 | |a SOUTH AMERICA | |
| 651 | 4 | |a BOLIVIA | |
| 651 | 4 | |a SOUTH AMERICA | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Menéndez, C.G. | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Ruscica, R. | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Alexander, P. | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Samuelsson, P. | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Willén, U. | |
| 773 | 0 | |d 2010 |g v. 19 |h pp. 347-355 |k n. 4 |p Meteorol. Z. |x 09412948 |t Meteorologische Zeitschrift | |
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