Climate-driven changes in air quality over Europe by the end of the 21st century, with special reference to Portugal

Climate change alone may deeply impact air quality levels in the atmosphere because the changes in the meteorological conditions will induce changes on the transport, dispersion and transformation of air pollutants. The aim of this work was to evaluate the impact of climate change on the air quality...

Descripción completa

Guardado en:
Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Carvalho, A.
Otros Autores: Monteiro, A., Solman, S., Miranda, A.I, Borrego, C.
Formato: Capítulo de libro
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2010
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Registro en Scopus
DOI
Handle
Registro en la Biblioteca Digital
Aporte de:Registro referencial: Solicitar el recurso aquí
LEADER 22085caa a22013817a 4500
001 PAPER-7603
003 AR-BaUEN
005 20230518203721.0
008 190411s2010 xx ||||fo|||| 00| 0 eng|d
024 7 |2 scopus  |a 2-s2.0-77955471495 
024 7 |2 cas  |a ozone, 10028-15-6 
040 |a Scopus  |b spa  |c AR-BaUEN  |d AR-BaUEN 
030 |a ESCPF 
100 1 |a Carvalho, A. 
245 1 0 |a Climate-driven changes in air quality over Europe by the end of the 21st century, with special reference to Portugal 
260 |c 2010 
270 1 0 |m Carvalho, A.; CESAM and Department of Environment and Planning, University of Aveiro, 3810-193 Aveiro, Portugal; email: avc@ua.pt 
506 |2 openaire  |e Política editorial 
504 |a Anagnostopoulou, C.H.R., Tolika, K., Maheras, P., Kutiel, H., Flocas, H.A., Performance of the general circulation HadAM3P model in simulating circulation types over the Mediterranean region (2008) International Journal Climatology, 28 (2), pp. 185-203 
504 |a Anderson, H.R., Atkinson, R., Peacock, J., Marston, L., Konstantinou, K., (2004) Meta-analysis of Time Series Studies and Panel Studies of Particulate Matter (PM) and Ozone (O3). Report of a WHO Task Group, , WHO Regional Office for Europe, Copenhagen 
504 |a Aquilina, N., Dudek, A.V., Carvalho, A., Borrego, C., Nordeng, T.E., MM5 high resolution simulations over Lisbon (2005) Geophysical Research Abstracts 2005, 7. , 08685, SRef-ID: 1607-7962/gra/EGU05-A-08685. European Geosciences Union 
504 |a Bessagnet, B., Hodzic, A., Vautard, R., Beekmann, M., Cheinet, S., Honore, C., Liousse, C., Rouil, L., Aerosol modeling with CHIMERE-preliminary evaluation at the continental scale (2004) Atmospheric Environment, 38, pp. 2803-2817 
504 |a Boo, K., Kwon, W., Oh, J., Baek, H., Response of global warming on regional climate change over Korea: An experiment with the MM5 model (2004) Geophysics Research Letters, 31. , L21206 
504 |a Borrego, C., Monteiro, A., Ferreira, J., Miranda, A.I., Costa, A.M., Carvalho, A.C., Lopes, M., Procedures for estimation of modelling uncertainty in air quality assessment (2008) Environmental International 
504 |a Carvalho, A.C., Carvalho, A., Gelpi, I., Barreiro, M., Borrego, C., Miranda, A.I., Perez-Munuzuri, V., Influence of topography and land use on pollutants dispersion in the Atlantic Coast of Iberian Peninsula (2006) Atmospheric Environment, 40 (21), pp. 3969-3982 
504 |a Carvalho, A., Monteiro, A., Ribeiro, I., Tchepel, O., Miranda, A.I., Borrego, C., Saavedra, S., Casares, J.J., High ozone levels in the Northeast of Portugal: analysis and characterization (2010) Atmospheric Environment, 44 (8), pp. 1020-1031 
504 |a Comrie, A.C., An all-season synoptic climatology of air pollution in the US-Mexico border region (1996) Professional Geographer, 48 (3), pp. 237-251 
504 |a Dentener, F., Stevenson, D., Ellingsen, K., van Noije, T., Schultz, M., Amann, M., The global atmospheric environment for the next generation (2006) Environmental Science and Technology, 40, pp. 3586-3594 
504 |a Dudhia, J., A nonhydrostatic version of the PennState/NCAR mesoscale model: validation tests and simulation of an Atlantic cyclone and clod front (1993) Monthly Weather Review, 121, pp. 1493-1513 
504 |a (2007) EMEP (European Monitoring and Evaluation Programme), , Transboundary particulate matter in Europe: status report 2007. Status report 4/2007: Joint CCC & MSC-W Report 
504 |a Fernández, J., Montávez, J.P., Sáenz, J., González-Rouco, J.F., Zorita, E., Sensitivity of the MM5 mesoscale model to physical parameterizations for regional climate studies: annual cycle (2007) Journal Geophysics Research, 112. , D04101 
504 |a Gauss, M., Myhre, G., Isaksen, I.A., Grewe, V., Pitari, G., Wild, O., Radiative forcing since preindustrial times due to ozone change in the troposphere and the lower stratosphere (2006) Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 6, pp. 575-599 
504 |a (1994) GENEMIS (Generation and Evaluation of Emission Data), , EUROTRAC Annual Report-1993. Part 5. EUROTRAC International Scientific Secretariat, Garmisch-Partenkirchen 
504 |a Ginoux, P., Chin, M., Tegen, I., Prospero, J.M., Holben, B., Dubovik, O., Lin, S.J., Sources and distributions of dust aerosols simulated with the GOCART model (2001) Journal of Geophysical Research, 106, pp. 20255-20273 
504 |a Giorgi, F., Meleux, F., Modeling the regional effects of climate change on air quality, C. R (2007) Geoscience, 339 (11-12), pp. 721-733 
504 |a Gordon, C., Cooper, C., Senior, C.A., Banks, H., Gregory, J.M., Johns, T.C., Mitchell, J.F.B., Wood, R.A., The simulation of SST, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments (2000) Climate Dynamics, 16, pp. 147-168 
504 |a Goswami, E., Larson, T., Lumley, T., Liu, L., Spatial characteristics of fine particulate matter: identifying representative monitoring locations in Seattle, Washington (2002) Journal Air Waste Management, 52 (3), pp. 324-333 
504 |a Grell, G.A., Dudhia, J., Stauffer, D.R., A description of the fifth-generation Penn State/NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5) (1994) NCAR Tech., p. 122. , Note, NCAR/TN-398+STR 
504 |a Guelle, W., Balkanski, Y.J., Dibb, J.E., Dchulz, M., Dulac, F., Wet deposition in a global size-dependent aerosol transport model (1998) Journal Geophysics Research, 103 (D22), pp. 28875-28891 
504 |a Gustafson, W.I., Leung, L.R., Regional downscaling for air quality assessment. A reasonable proposition? (2007) Bulletin American Meteorology Society, pp. 1215-1227 
504 |a Hansen, M.C., DeFries, R.S., Townsend, J.R., Sohlberg, R., Global land cover classification at 1km spatial resolution using a classification tree approach (2000) International Journal Remote Sensing, 21 (6-7), pp. 1331-1364 
504 |a Hauglustaine, D.A., Lathiere, J., Szopa, S., Folberth, G.A., Future tropospheric ozone simulated with a climate-chemistry-biosphere model (2005) Geophysics Research Letters, 32, pp. L24807 
504 |a Hogrefe, C., Biswas, J., Lynn, B., Civerolo, K., Ku, J.Y., Rosenthal, J., Simulating regional-scale ozone climatology over the eastern United States: model evaluation results (2004) Atmospheric Environment, 38, pp. 2627-2638 
504 |a (2001) Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, , IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom; New York, NY, USA, J.T. Houghton, Y. Ding, D.J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P.J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell, C.A. Johnson (Eds.) 
504 |a (2007) Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, , IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor, H.L. Miller (Eds.) 
504 |a Jones, R., Murphy, J., Hassell, D., Taylor, R., (2001) Ensemble Mean Changes in a Simulation of the European Climate of 2071-2100 using the new Hadley Centre Regional Modelling System HadAM3H/HadRM3H, , Met Office, Exeter, UK 
504 |a Jones, R.G., Murphy, J.M., Hassel, D.C., Woodage, M.J., (2005) A High Resolution Atmospheric GCM for the Generation of Regional Climate Scenarios. Hadley Center Technical Note 63, , Met Office, Exeter, UK 
504 |a Jones, T.C., Gregory, J.M., Ingram, W.J., Johnson, C.E., Jones, A., Lowe, J.A., Anthropogenic climate change for 1860-2100 simulated with the HadCM3 model under updated emissions scenarios (2003) Climate Dynamics, 20, pp. 583-612 
504 |a Kalnay, E., Kanamitsu, M., Kistler, R., Collins, W., Deaven, D., Gandin, L., The NCEP/NCAR 40-years reanalysis project (1996) Bulletin American Meteorology Society, 77, pp. 437-471 
504 |a Keyes, D., Anderson, D., McKaughan, C., Eyrich, H., Estimating the costs of violating air quality standards (2001) Environmental Monitoring Assessment, 68 (1), pp. 22-30 
504 |a Kunkel, K.E., Huang, H.-C., Liang, X.-Z., Lin, J.-T., Wuebbles, D., Tao, Z., Sensitivity of future ozone concentrations in the northeast USA to regional climate change (2007) Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, pp. 597-606 
504 |a Langner, J., Bergström, R., Foltescu, V., Impact of climate change on surface ozone and deposition of sulphur and nitrogen in Europe (2005) Atmospheric Environment, 39, pp. 1129-1141 
504 |a Leggett, J., Pepper, W.J., Swart, R.J., Emissions scenarios for IPCC: an update (1992) Climate Change 1992. The Supplementary Report to the IPCC Scientific Assessment, , Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, J.T. Houghton, B.A. Callander, S.K. Varney (Eds.) 
504 |a Leung, L., Ghan, S., Pacific northwest climate sensitivity simulated by a regional climate model driven by a GCM. Part I: control simulations (1999) Journal of Climate, 12 (7), pp. 2010-2030 
504 |a Leung, L., Zhong, S., Qian, Y., Liu, Y., Evaluation of regional climate simulations of the 1998 and 1999 east Asian summer monsoon using the GAME/HUBEX observational data (2004) Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 82 (6), pp. 1695-1713 
504 |a Mearns, L.O., Giorgi, F., Whetton, P., Pabon, D., Hulme, M., Lal, M., Guidelines for Use of Climate Scenarios Developed from Regional Climate Model Experiments (2003) DDC of IPCC TGCIA, Final Version 
504 |a Meleux, F., Solmon, F., Giorgi, F., Increase in summer European ozone amounts due to climate change (2007) Atmospheric Environment, 41, pp. 7577-7587 
504 |a Middleton, P., Stockwell, W.R., Carter, W.P.L., Aggregation and analysis of volatile organic compound emissions for regional modeling (1990) Atmospheric Environment, 24, pp. 1107-1133. , A 
504 |a Miranda, A.I., Carvalho, A.C., Martins, H., Carvalho, A., Rocha, A., Borrego, C., Climate change impacts on air quality over Portugal (2005) 5th International Conference on Urban air quality, , R. Sohki (Ed.) 
504 |a Monteiro, A., Vautard, R., Borrego, C., Miranda, A.I., Long-term simulations of photo oxidant pollution over Portugal using the CHIMERE model (2005) Atmospheric Environment, 39, pp. 3089-3101 
504 |a Monteiro, A., Miranda, A.I., Borrego, C., Vautard, R., Ferreira, J., Perez, A.T., Long-term assessment of particulate matter using CHIMERE model (2007) Atmospheric Environment, 41, pp. 7726-7738 
504 |a Nenes, A., Pandis, S.N., Pilinis, C., Continued development and testing of a new thermodynamic aerosol module for urban and regional air quality models (1999) Atmospheric Environment, 33, pp. 1553-1560 
504 |a New, M., Lister, D., Hulme, M., Makin, I., A high-resolution data set of surface climate over global land areas (2002) Climate Research, 21, pp. 1-25 
504 |a Pio, C., Legrand, M., Oliveira, T., Afonso, A., Santos, C., Caseiro, A., Fialho, P., Schock, M., Climatology of aerosol composition (organic versus inorganic) at non-urban areas on a West-East transect across Europe (2007) Journal of Geophysics Research, 112 (D23), pp. S02 
504 |a Pope, V.D., Gallani, M.L., Rowntree, P.R., Stratton, R.A., The impact of new physical parametrizations in the Hadley Centre climate model: HadAM3 (2000) Climate Dynamics, 16, pp. 123-146 
504 |a Prather, M., Gauss, M., Berntsen, T., Isaksen, I., Sundet, J., Bey, I., Fresh air in the 21st century (2003) Geophysical Research Letters, 30 (2) 
504 |a Rowell, D.P., A scenario of European climate change for the late twenty-first century: seasonal means and interannual variability (2005) Climate Dynamics, 25, pp. 837-849 
504 |a Schmidt, H., Derognat, C., Vautard, R., Beekmann, M., A comparison of simulated and observed ozone mixing ratios for the summer of 1998 in Western Europe (2001) Atmospheric Environment, 35 (36), pp. 6277-6297 
504 |a Semazzi, F., Air quality research: perspective from climate change modelling research (2003) Environment International, 29, pp. 253-261 
504 |a Sillman, S., Samson, P.J., Impact of temperature on oxidant photochemistry in urban, polluted rural and remote environments (1995) Journal Geophysics Research, 100, pp. 11497-11508 
504 |a Simpson, D., Guenther, A., Hewitt, C.N., Steinbrecher, R., Biogenic emissions in Europe. 1- Estimates and uncertainties (1995) Journal of Geophysical Research, 100, pp. 22875-22890 
504 |a Simpson, D., Winiwarter, W., Borjesson, G., Cinderby, S., Ferreiro, A., Guenther, A., Inventorying emissions from nature in Europe (1999) Journal Geophysics Research, 104 (D7), pp. 8113-8152 
504 |a Solman, S., Nuñez, M., Cabré, M.F., Regional climate change experiments over southern South America. I: present climate (2007) Climate Dynamics 
504 |a Stern, R., Builtjes, P., Schaap, M., Timmermans, R., Vautard, R., Hodzic, A., Memmesheimer, M., Kerschbaumer, A., A model inter-comparison study focussing on episodes with elevated PM10 concentrations (2008) Atmospheric Environment, 42, pp. 4567-4588 
504 |a Stohl, A., Williams, E., Wotawa, G., Kromp-Kolb, H., A European inventory for soil nitric oxide emissions and the effect of these emissions on the photochemical formation of ozone (1996) Atmospheric Environment, 30, pp. 374-3755 
504 |a Szopa, S., Hauglustaine, D.A., Vautard, R., Menut, L., Future global tropospheric ozone changes and impact on European air quality (2006) Geophysics Research Letters, 33. , L14805 
504 |a Van Dijck, S., Laouina, A., Carvalho, A., Loos, S., Schipper, A., Kwast, H., Desertification in Northern Morocco due to effects of climate change on groundwater recharge</CT> (2005) Desertification in the Mediterranean Region. A Security Issue, , Springer, New York, W. Kepner, J. Rubio, D. Mouat, F. Pedrazzini (Eds.) 
504 |a Vautard, R., Bessagnet, B., Chin, M., Menut, L., On the contribution of natural Aeolian sources to particulate matter concentrations in Europe: testing hypotheses with a modelling approach (2005) Atmospheric Environment, 39 (18), pp. 3291-3303 
504 |a Vautard, R., Builtjes, P., Thunis, P., Cuvelier, K., Bedogni, M., Bssagnet, B., Honoré, C., van Loon, M., Evaluation and intercomparison of Ozone and PM10 simulations by several chemistry-transport models over 4 European cities within the City-Delta project (2007) Atmospheric Environment, 41, pp. 173-188 
504 |a Vestreng, V., Review and revision of emission data reported to CLRTAP (2003) EMEP Status Report 
504 |a Vukovich, F.M., Sherwell, J., An examination of the relationship between certain meteorological parameters and surface ozone variations in the Baltimore-Washington corridor (2003) Atmospheric Environment, 37, pp. 971-981 
504 |a Wise, E., Comrie, A., Meteorologically adjusted urban air quality trends in the Southwestern United States (2005) Atmospheric Environment, 39, pp. 2969-2980 
504 |a Zlatev, Z., Comprehensive air pollution studies by the Danish Eulerian Model (2007) Air, water and soil quality modelling for risk and impact assessment, pp. 293-302. , In: Ebel, A., Davitashvili, T. (Eds.), Nato Science for Peace and Security Series C - Environmental Security 
520 3 |a Climate change alone may deeply impact air quality levels in the atmosphere because the changes in the meteorological conditions will induce changes on the transport, dispersion and transformation of air pollutants. The aim of this work was to evaluate the impact of climate change on the air quality over Europe and Portugal, using a reference year (year 1990) and a IPCC SRES A2 year (year 2100). The Hadley Centre global atmospheric circulation model (HadAM3P) was used to provide results for these two climatic scenarios, which were then used as synoptic forcing for the MM5-CHIMERE air quality modelling system. In order to assess the contribution of future climate change on O3 and PM concentrations, no changes in regional emissions were assumed and only climate change forcing was considered. The modelling results suggest that the O3 monthly mean levels in the atmosphere may increase almost 50μgm-3 across Europe in July under the IPCC SRES A2 scenario. In Portugal, this increase may reach 20μgm-3. The changes of PM10 monthly average values over Europe will depend on the region. The increase in PM10 concentrations during specific months could be explained by the average reduction of the boundary layer height and wind speed. © 2010 Elsevier Ltd.  |l eng 
536 |a Detalles de la financiación: GOCE/CT/2004/505337 
536 |a Detalles de la financiación: Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas 
536 |a Detalles de la financiación: SFRH/BD/10882/2002 
536 |a Detalles de la financiación: Met Office 
536 |a Detalles de la financiación: The authors thank the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology for the PhD grant of A. Carvalho (SFRH/BD/10882/2002) and David Hein at the Met Office Hadley Centre, U.K., for the HadAM3P climate simulations. The support from the ACCENT Network of Excellence (GOCE/CT/2004/505337) and the EU-COST 728 Action are also acknowledged. Anabela Carvalho has a PhD in environmental applied sciences. She has an MSc on management and environmental policies and a degree on environmental engineering. Currently, she is a member of the Research Group on Emissions, Modelling and Climate Change (GEMAC). Her research interests include climate change, forest fires emissions and air quality modelling. She has participated in several international (EC funded) and national research projects. Alexandra Monteiro is currently a researcher and an Invited Professor at the Department of Environment of the University of Aveiro. She has a PhD in Sciences Applied to the Environment at the University of Aveiro, a Master of Science degree in Atmospheric Pollution and a degree in Chemical Engineering. She is a member of the Research Group on Emissions, Modelling and Climate Change (GEMAC). Her research interests include regional and urban air quality, air quality forecasting, air pollution (emissions and modelling), forest fire emissions and pollution health effects. Silvina Solman was awarded a PhD in Atmospheric Sciences at the University of Buenos Aires, Argentina in 1993. She has been a Professor in the Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Buenos Aires since 2006. She has held a Permanent Research Position at Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET), Argentina since 2000. Her research topics are mainly focused on regional climate variability over South America, regional climate modelling, climate change, regional scenarios of climate change (statistical and dynamical downscaling). Ana Isabel Miranda is an associate professor at the University of Aveiro. She received her PhD on environmental applied sciences, as well as a degree in environmental engineering, from the University of Aveiro in 1998 and 1989, respectively. She is co-coordinating the Research Group on Emissions, Modelling and Climate Change. She has published over 150 scientific journal and conference papers. She participated in several national and European research projects coordinating three national research projects and scientifically leading from the University of Aveiro one European project in the areas of air pollution and forest fires. Carlos Borrego is full professor of environmental engineering, with focus on air pollution and environment. He has the habilitation on environmental applied sciences from the University of Aveiro, PhD and MSc from the Free University of Brussels and a degree in mechanical engineering from the Technical University of Lisbon. He was the Chairman of the Scientific Board of the International Technical Meetings of NATO-CCMS on Air Pollution Modelling and its Application between 2001 and 2007and was vice-chairman of the Environmental Assessment Group of EUROTRAC-2 (EUREKA Environmental Project), from 1997 to 2000. He has been the scientific co-ordinator of several projects under the FP of EC Environment and Sustainable Development Programme and under the National Funding Agency. 
593 |a CESAM and Department of Environment and Planning, University of Aveiro, 3810-193 Aveiro, Portugal 
593 |a CIMA, Intendente Guiraldes 2160, Ciudad Universitaria, Pabellón II, 2 Piso, C1428EGA Buenos Aires, Argentina 
690 1 0 |a AIR QUALITY MODELLING 
690 1 0 |a METEOROLOGICAL FIELDS 
690 1 0 |a OZONE 
690 1 0 |a PARTICULATE MATTER 
690 1 0 |a REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE 
690 1 0 |a OZONE 
690 1 0 |a AIR POLLUTANT 
690 1 0 |a AIR QUALITY 
690 1 0 |a ARTICLE 
690 1 0 |a CLIMATE CHANGE 
690 1 0 |a EUROPE 
690 1 0 |a METEOROLOGY 
690 1 0 |a PARTICULATE MATTER 
690 1 0 |a PRIORITY JOURNAL 
651 4 |a PORTUGAL 
700 1 |a Monteiro, A. 
700 1 |a Solman, S. 
700 1 |a Miranda, A.I. 
700 1 |a Borrego, C. 
773 0 |d 2010  |g v. 13  |h pp. 445-458  |k n. 6  |p Environ. Sci. Policy  |x 14629011  |t Environmental Science and Policy 
856 4 1 |u https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-77955471495&doi=10.1016%2fj.envsci.2010.05.001&partnerID=40&md5=40417ceecf97ad4cf3e271d51bf2ac57  |y Registro en Scopus 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2010.05.001  |y DOI 
856 4 0 |u https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_14629011_v13_n6_p445_Carvalho  |y Handle 
856 4 0 |u https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_14629011_v13_n6_p445_Carvalho  |y Registro en la Biblioteca Digital 
961 |a paper_14629011_v13_n6_p445_Carvalho  |b paper  |c PE 
962 |a info:eu-repo/semantics/article  |a info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo  |b info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 
999 |c 68556