A stochastic population dynamics model for Aedes aegypti: Formulation and application to a city with temperate climate
Aedes aegypti is the main vector for dengue and urban yellow fever. It is extended around the world not only in the tropical regions but also beyond them, reaching temperate climates. Because of its importance as a vector of deadly diseases, the significance of its distribution in urban areas and th...
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2006
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| LEADER | 13429caa a22013817a 4500 | ||
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| 001 | PAPER-6920 | ||
| 003 | AR-BaUEN | ||
| 005 | 20230518203638.0 | ||
| 008 | 190411s2006 xx ||||fo|||| 00| 0 eng|d | ||
| 024 | 7 | |2 scopus |a 2-s2.0-33750709284 | |
| 040 | |a Scopus |b spa |c AR-BaUEN |d AR-BaUEN | ||
| 030 | |a BMTBA | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Otero, M. | |
| 245 | 1 | 2 | |a A stochastic population dynamics model for Aedes aegypti: Formulation and application to a city with temperate climate |
| 260 | |c 2006 | ||
| 270 | 1 | 0 | |m Solari, H.G.; Department of Physics, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas Y Naturales, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina; email: solari@df.uba.ar |
| 506 | |2 openaire |e Política editorial | ||
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| 520 | 3 | |a Aedes aegypti is the main vector for dengue and urban yellow fever. It is extended around the world not only in the tropical regions but also beyond them, reaching temperate climates. Because of its importance as a vector of deadly diseases, the significance of its distribution in urban areas and the possibility of breeding in laboratory facilities, Aedes aegypti is one of the best-known mosquitoes. In this work the biology of Aedes aegypti is incorporated into the framework of a stochastic population dynamics model able to handle seasonal and total extinction as well as endemic situations. The model incorporates explicitly the dependence with temperature. The ecological parameters of the model are tuned to the present populations of Aedes aegypti in Buenos Aires city, which is at the border of the present day geographical distribution in South America. Temperature thresholds for the mosquito survival are computed as a function of average yearly temperature and seasonal variation as well as breeding site availability. The stochastic analysis suggests that the southern limit of Aedes aegypti distribution in South America is close to the 15°C average yearly isotherm, which accounts for the historical and current distribution better than the traditional criterion of the winter (July) 10°C isotherm. © 2006 Springer Science+Business Media, Inc. |l eng | |
| 536 | |a Detalles de la financiación: Universidad de Buenos Aires, X308 | ||
| 536 | |a Detalles de la financiación: Agencia Nacional de Promoción Científica y Tecnológica, PICTR 87/2002 | ||
| 536 | |a Detalles de la financiación: The authors thank Daniel Barrera and Pablo Orellano for providing important information. We thank Mario Natiello and Joan Aron for carefully reading the manuscript. The authors acknowledge support by the University of Buenos Aires under grant X308 and by the Agencia Nacional de Promocin Científ ica y Tec-nológica (Argentina) under grant PICTR 87/2002. | ||
| 593 | |a Department of Physics, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas Y Naturales, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina | ||
| 593 | |a Department of Genetics and Ecology, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas Y Naturales, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina | ||
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a AEDES AEGYPTI |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a MATHEMATICAL ECOLOGY |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a POPULATION DYNAMICS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a STOCHASTIC MODEL |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a TEMPERATE CLIMATE |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a AEDES |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a ANIMAL |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a ARTICLE |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a BIOLOGICAL MODEL |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a DENGUE |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a DENGUE VIRUS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a DISEASE CARRIER |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a DISEASE TRANSMISSION |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a FEMALE |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a GROWTH, DEVELOPMENT AND AGING |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a MICROBIOLOGY |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a POPULATION DYNAMICS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a SEASON |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a STATISTICAL MODEL |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a STATISTICS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a URBAN POPULATION |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a VIROLOGY |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a AEDES |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a ANIMALS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a DENGUE |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a DENGUE VIRUS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a FEMALE |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a INSECT VECTORS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a MODELS, BIOLOGICAL |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a MODELS, STATISTICAL |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a POPULATION DYNAMICS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a SEASONS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a STOCHASTIC PROCESSES |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a URBAN POPULATION |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a AEDES AEGYPTI |
| 651 | 4 | |a ARGENTINA | |
| 651 | 4 | |a ARGENTINA | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Solari, H.G. | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Schweigmann, N. | |
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