Forecast and tracking the evolution of cloud clusters (ForTraCC) using satellite infrared imagery: Methodology and validation
The purpose of this study is to develop and validate an algorithm for tracking and forecasting radiative and morphological characteristics of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) through their entire life cycles using geostationary satellite thermal channel information (10.8 μm). The main features of...
Guardado en:
| Autor principal: | |
|---|---|
| Otros Autores: | , , |
| Formato: | Capítulo de libro |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
2008
|
| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Registro en Scopus DOI Handle Registro en la Biblioteca Digital |
| Aporte de: | Registro referencial: Solicitar el recurso aquí |
| LEADER | 08966caa a22008177a 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | PAPER-5997 | ||
| 003 | AR-BaUEN | ||
| 005 | 20250529101409.0 | ||
| 008 | 190411s2008 xx ||||fo|||| 00| 0 eng|d | ||
| 024 | 7 | |2 scopus |a 2-s2.0-44849086361 | |
| 040 | |a Scopus |b spa |c AR-BaUEN |d AR-BaUEN | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Vila, D.A. | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Forecast and tracking the evolution of cloud clusters (ForTraCC) using satellite infrared imagery: Methodology and validation |
| 260 | |c 2008 | ||
| 270 | 1 | 0 | |m Vila, D.A.; University of Maryland, 2207 Computer and Space Bldg., College Park, MD 20742, United States; email: dvila@essic.umd.edu |
| 504 | |a Carvalho, L., Jones, C., A satellite method to identify structural properties of mesoscale convective systems based on the maximum spatial correlation tracking technique (MASCOTTE) (2001) J. Appl. Meteor, 40, pp. 1683-1701 | ||
| 504 | |a Corfidi, S.F., Meritt, J.H., Fritsch, J.M., Predicting the movement of mesoscale convective complexes (1996) Wea. Forecasting, 11, pp. 41-46 | ||
| 504 | |a Houze, R.A., Structure and dynamics of a tropical squall line system (1977) Mon. Wea. Rev, 105, pp. 1540-1567 | ||
| 504 | |a Laurent, H., Machado, L.A.T., Morales, C., Durieux, L., Characteristics of Amazonian mesoscale convective systems observed from satellite and radar during the WETAMC/LBA experiment (2002) J. Geophys. Res, 107, p. 8054. , doi:10.1029/2001JD000337 | ||
| 504 | |a Le Barbé, L., Label, T., Tapsoba, D., Rainfall variability in West Africa during the years 1950-90 (2002) J. Climate, 15, pp. 187-202 | ||
| 504 | |a Machado, L.A.T., Laurent, H., The convective system area expansion over Amazonia and its relationships with convective system life duration and high-level wind divergence (2004) Mon. Wea. Rev, 132, pp. 714-725 | ||
| 504 | |a Machado, L.A.T., Duvel, J.-P., Desbois, M., Diurnal variations and modulation by easterly waves of the size distribution of convective cloud clusters over West Africa and Atlantic Ocean (1993) Mon. Wea. Rev, 121, pp. 37-49 | ||
| 504 | |a Machado, L.A.T., Rossow, W.B., Guedes, R.L., Walker, A.W., Life cycle variations of mesoscale convective systems over the Americas (1998) Mon. Wea. Rev, 126, pp. 1630-1654 | ||
| 504 | |a Maddox, R.A., Mesoscale convective complex (1980) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc, 61, pp. 1374-1387 | ||
| 504 | |a Mapes, B.E., Houze Jr., R.A., An integrated view of 1987 Australian monsoon and its mesoscale convective systems. Part I: Horizontal structure (1992) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc, 118, pp. 927-963 | ||
| 504 | |a Mathon, V., Laurent, H., Life cycle of the Sahelian mesoscale convective cloud systems (2001) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc, 127, pp. 377-406 | ||
| 504 | |a Morel, C., Senesi, S., A climatology of mesoscale convective systems over Europe using satellite infrared imagery. I: Methodology (2002) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc, 128, pp. 1953-1971 | ||
| 504 | |a Scofield, R., R. Kuligowski, and C. Davenport, 2004: The use of the Hydro-Nowcaster for mesoscale convective systems and the Tropical Rainfall Nowcaster (TRaN) for landfalling tropical systems. Preprints, Symp. on Planning, Nowcasting, and Forecasting in the Urban Zone, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1.4; Silva Dias, M.A.F., Cloud and rain processes in a biosphere-atmosphere interaction context in the Amazon region (2002) J. Geophys. Res, 107, p. 8072. , doi:10.1029/2001JD000335 | ||
| 504 | |a Torres, J. C., 2003: Heavy rainfall mesoscale convective systems in northern and middle Argentina (in Spanish). Ph.D. thesis, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina, 213 pp; Velasco, I., Necco, G., (1980) Valores medios, extremos y desviaciones estandar de datos aerológicos de la república Argentina (Mean, extreme and standard deviations values of rawinsonde data over Argentina), , Departamento de Meteorología, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina | ||
| 504 | |a Velasco, I., Fritsch, J.M., Mesoscale convective complexes in the Americas (1987) J. Geophys. Res, 92, pp. 9591-9613 | ||
| 504 | |a Vila, D.A., (2005) Sistemas convectivos precipitantes de mesoescala sobre Sudamerica: Ciclos de vida y circulación en gran escala asociada (Rainy mesoscale convective systems over South America: Life cycle and the associated large scale environment), , Ph.D. thesis, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina, 132 pp | ||
| 504 | |a Vila, D.A., Machado, L.A.T., Shape and radiative properties of convective systems observed from infrared satellite images (2004) Int. J. Remote Sens, 25, pp. 4441-4456 | ||
| 504 | |a Wilks, D.S., (1995) Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences: An Introduction, , Academic Press, 467 pp | ||
| 504 | |a Williams, M., Houze Jr., R.A., Satellite-observed characteristics of winter monsoon cloud clusters (1987) Mon. Wea. Rev, 115, pp. 505-519 | ||
| 504 | |a Woodley, W.L., Griffith, C.G., Griffin, J.S., Stromatt, S.C., The inference of GATE convective rainfall from SMS-1 imagery (1980) J. Appl. Meteor, 19, pp. 388-408 | ||
| 506 | |2 openaire |e Política editorial | ||
| 520 | 3 | |a The purpose of this study is to develop and validate an algorithm for tracking and forecasting radiative and morphological characteristics of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) through their entire life cycles using geostationary satellite thermal channel information (10.8 μm). The main features of this system are the following: 1) a cloud cluster detection method based on a threshold temperature (235 K), 2) a tracking technique based on MCS overlapping areas in successive images, and 3) a forecast module based on the evolution of each particular MCS in previous steps. This feature is based on the MCS's possible displacement (considering the center of the mass position of the cloud cluster in previous time steps) and its size evolution. Statistical information about MCS, evolution during the Wet Season Atmospheric Mesoscale Campaign (WETAMC) of the Large-Scale Biosphere-Atmosphere. Experiment in Amazonia (LBA) was used to obtain area expansion mean rates for different MCSs according to their lifetime durations. This nowcasting tool was applied to evaluate the MCS displacement and size evolution over the Del Plata basin in South America up to 120 min with 30-min intervals. The Forecast and Tracking the Evolution of Cloud Clusters (ForTraCC) technique's performance was evaluated based on the difference between the forecasted and observed images. This evaluation shows good agreement between the observed and forecast size and minimum temperature for shorter forecast lead times, but tends to underestimate MCS size (and overestimate the minimum temperature) for larger forecast lead times. © 2008 American Meteorological Society. |l eng | |
| 593 | |a Cooperative Institute of Climate Studies, University of Maryland, 2207 Computer and Space Bldg., College Park, MD 20742, United States | ||
| 593 | |a Centre de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos, Instituto Nacional de Pequisas Espaciais, Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil | ||
| 593 | |a Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement, Paris, France | ||
| 593 | |a Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina | ||
| 651 | 4 | |a SOUTH AMERICA | |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a ATMOSPHERIC RADIATION |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a CLOUDS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITES |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a SATELLITE IMAGERY |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a CLOUD CLUSTER DETECTION METHOD |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE THERMAL CHANNEL INFORMATION |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS (MCSS) |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a WEATHER FORECASTING |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a ALGORITHM |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a CONVECTIVE CLOUD |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a CONVECTIVE SYSTEM |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a INFRARED IMAGERY |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a MESOSCALE METEOROLOGY |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a SATELLITE IMAGERY |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a STATISTICAL ANALYSIS |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a TRACKING |
| 690 | 1 | 0 | |a WEATHER FORECASTING |
| 700 | 1 | |a Machado, L.A.T. | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Laurent, Henri | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Velasco, I. | |
| 773 | 0 | |d 2008 |g v. 23 |h pp. 233-245 |k n. 2 |p Weather Forecast. |x 08828156 |w (AR-BaUEN)CENRE-413 |t Weather and Forecasting | |
| 856 | 4 | 1 | |u https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-44849086361&doi=10.1175%2f2007WAF2006121.1&partnerID=40&md5=5d0d8a49c4c8dfaeaad5658857895ce1 |y Registro en Scopus |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://doi.org/10.1175/2007WAF2006121.1 |y DOI |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_08828156_v23_n2_p233_Vila |y Handle |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u https://bibliotecadigital.exactas.uba.ar/collection/paper/document/paper_08828156_v23_n2_p233_Vila |y Registro en la Biblioteca Digital |
| 961 | |a paper_08828156_v23_n2_p233_Vila |b paper |c PE | ||
| 962 | |a info:eu-repo/semantics/article |a info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo |b info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion | ||
| 999 | |c 66950 | ||