A stochastic spatial dynamical model for Aedes aegypti

We develop a stochastic spatial model for Aedes aegypti populations based on the life cycle of the mosquito and its dispersal. Our validation corresponds to a monitoring study performed in Buenos Aires. Lacking information with regard to the number of breeding sites per block, the corresponding para...

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Autor principal: Otero, M.
Otros Autores: Schweigmann, N., Solari, H.G
Formato: Capítulo de libro
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2008
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100 1 |a Otero, M. 
245 1 2 |a A stochastic spatial dynamical model for Aedes aegypti 
260 |c 2008 
270 1 0 |m Otero, M.; Department of Physics, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas Y Naturales, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina; email: mjotero@df.uba.ar 
506 |2 openaire  |e Política editorial 
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504 |a McDonald, P.T., Population characteristics of domestic aedes aegypti (diptera: Culicidae) in villages on the Kenya coast. ii. dispersal within and between villages (1977) J. Med. Entomol., 14, pp. 49-53. , 1 
504 |a (1964) Campaña de Erradicacion del Aedes Aegypti en la República Argentina. Informe Final, , Ministerio de Asistencia Social y Salud Publica, A. Buenos Aires 
504 |a Morlan, H.B., Hayes, R.O., Urban dispersal and activity of aedes aegypti (1958) Mosq. News, 18, pp. 137-144 
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504 |a Nayar, J.K., Sauerman, D.M., The effects of nutrition on survival and fecundity in Florida mosquitoes. Part 3. utilization of blood and sugar for fecundity (1975) J. Med. Entomol., 12, pp. 220-225 
504 |a Ordoñez-Gonzalez, J.G., Mercado-Hernandez, R., Flores-Suarez, A.E., Fernandez-Salas, I., The use of sticky ovitraps to estimate dispersal of aedes aegypti in northeastern Mexico (2001) J. Am. Mosq. Control Assoc., Inc., 17, pp. 93-97. , 2 
504 |a Otero, M., Solari, H., Schweigmann, N., A stochastic population dynamic model for aedes aegypti: Formulation and application to a city with temperate climate (2006) Bull. Math. Biol., 68, pp. 1945-1974 
504 |a Reiter, P., Amador, M.A., Anderson, R.A., Clark, G.G., Short report: Dispersal of aedes aegypti in an urban area after blood feeding as demonstrated by rubidium-marked eggs (1995) Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg., 52, pp. 177-179 
504 |a Rodhain, F., Rosen, L., Gubler, D.J., Kuno, G., Mosquito vectors and dengue virus-vector relationships (1997) Dengue and Dengue Hemorragic Fever, pp. 61-88. , CAB International New York 
504 |a Rueda, L.M., Patel, K.J., Axtell, R.C., Stinner, R.E., Temperature-dependent development and survival rates of culex quinquefasciatus and aedes aegypti (diptera: Culicidae) (1990) J. Med. Entomol., 27, pp. 892-898 
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504 |a Schweigmann, N., Boffi, R., Aedes aegypti y aedes albopictus: Situación entomológica en la región (1998) Temas de Zoonosis Y Enfermedades Emergentes, Segundo Cong. Argent. de Zoonosis Y Primer Cong. Argent. Y Lationoamer. de Enf. Emerg. Y Asociación Argentina de Zoonosis, pp. 259-263. , Buenos Aires 
504 |a Schweigmann, N., Orellano, P., Kuruc, J., Vera, M.T., Vezzani, D., Méndez, A., Distribución y abundancia de aedes aegypti (diptera: Culicidae) en la ciudad de Buenos Aires (2002) Actualizaciones en Artropodología Sanitaria Argentina, pp. 155-160. , Salomón, D.S. (Ed.) 
504 |a Service, M.W., Mosquito (diptera: Culicidae) dispersal-the long and short of it (1997) J. Med. Entomol., 34, pp. 579-588 
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504 |a Trpis, M., Dry season survival of aedes aegypti eggs in various breeding sites in the Dar es Salaam area, Tanzania (1972) Bull. W.H.O., 47, pp. 433-437 
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504 |a (2006), http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/ncdc.html, US Department of Commerce, National climatic data center; Vezzani, C., Velázquez, S.T., Schweigmann, N., Seasonal pattern of abundance of aedes aegypti (diptera: Culicidae) in Buenos Aires city, Argentina (2004) Mem. Inst. Oswaldo Cruz, 99, pp. 351-356 
504 |a (1998) Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever. Diagnosis, Treatment, Prevention and Control, , WHO, World Health Organization, Ginebra, Suiza 
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520 3 |a We develop a stochastic spatial model for Aedes aegypti populations based on the life cycle of the mosquito and its dispersal. Our validation corresponds to a monitoring study performed in Buenos Aires. Lacking information with regard to the number of breeding sites per block, the corresponding parameter (BS) was adjusted to the data. The model is able to produce numerical data in very good agreement with field results during most of the year, the exception being the fall season. Possible causes of the disagreement are discussed. We analyzed the mosquito dispersal as an advantageous strategy of persistence in the city and simulated the dispersal of females from a source to the surroundings along a 3-year period observing that several processes occur simultaneously: local extinctions, recolonization processes (resulting from flight and the oviposition performed by flyers), and colonization processes resulting from the persistence of eggs during the winter season. In view of this process, we suggest that eradication campaigns in temperate climates should be performed during the winter time for higher efficiency. © 2008 Society for Mathematical Biology.  |l eng 
536 |a Detalles de la financiación: Universidad de Buenos Aires, X308 
536 |a Detalles de la financiación: Agencia Nacional de Promoción Científica y Tecnológica, PICTR 87/2002 
536 |a Detalles de la financiación: Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas 
536 |a Detalles de la financiación: The authors acknowledge CONICET and the support given by the University of Buenos Aires under grant X308 and by the Agencia Nacional de Promoción Científica y Tec-nológica (Argentina) under grant PICTR 87/2002. 
593 |a Department of Physics, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas Y Naturales, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina 
593 |a Department of Genetics and Ecology, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas Y Naturales, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina 
690 1 0 |a AEDES AEGYPTI 
690 1 0 |a AEDES AEGYPTI DISPERSAL 
690 1 0 |a DENGUE EPIDEMICS 
690 1 0 |a MATHEMATICAL ECOLOGY 
690 1 0 |a POPULATION DYNAMICS 
690 1 0 |a SPATIAL MODEL 
690 1 0 |a STOCHASTIC MODEL 
690 1 0 |a TEMPERATE CLIMATE 
690 1 0 |a AEDES 
690 1 0 |a ALGORITHM 
690 1 0 |a ANIMAL 
690 1 0 |a ARTICLE 
690 1 0 |a BIOLOGICAL MODEL 
690 1 0 |a CITY 
690 1 0 |a COMPUTER SIMULATION 
690 1 0 |a DENGUE 
690 1 0 |a EGG LAYING 
690 1 0 |a ENVIRONMENT 
690 1 0 |a FEMALE 
690 1 0 |a PHYSIOLOGY 
690 1 0 |a POPULATION DYNAMICS 
690 1 0 |a SEASON 
690 1 0 |a STATISTICS 
690 1 0 |a WEATHER 
690 1 0 |a AEDES 
690 1 0 |a ALGORITHMS 
690 1 0 |a ANIMALS 
690 1 0 |a CITIES 
690 1 0 |a COMPUTER SIMULATION 
690 1 0 |a DENGUE 
690 1 0 |a ENVIRONMENT 
690 1 0 |a FEMALE 
690 1 0 |a MODELS, BIOLOGICAL 
690 1 0 |a OVIPOSITION 
690 1 0 |a POPULATION DYNAMICS 
690 1 0 |a SEASONS 
690 1 0 |a STOCHASTIC PROCESSES 
690 1 0 |a WEATHER 
690 1 0 |a AEDES AEGYPTI 
651 4 |a ARGENTINA 
651 4 |a ARGENTINA 
700 1 |a Schweigmann, N. 
700 1 |a Solari, H.G. 
773 0 |d 2008  |g v. 70  |h pp. 1297-1325  |k n. 5  |p Bull. Math. Biol.  |x 00928240  |w (AR-BaUEN)CENRE-4073  |t Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 
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