Climate impacts on crop yields in Central Argentina. Adaptation strategies

The Pampas is among the major agricultural regions in the world; a large proportion of Argentina crop production is originated in this region. The exportation of grain and oil crop represents more than 40% of the total national exportations. Impact of future climate on wheat, maize and soybean yield...

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Autor principal: Rolla, A.L
Otros Autores: Nuñez, M.N, Guevara, E.R, Meira, S.G, Rodriguez, G.R, Ortiz de Zárate, M.I
Formato: Capítulo de libro
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd 2018
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100 1 |a Rolla, A.L. 
245 1 0 |a Climate impacts on crop yields in Central Argentina. Adaptation strategies 
260 |b Elsevier Ltd  |c 2018 
270 1 0 |m Rolla, A.L.; CIMA (CONICET – UBA)Argentina; email: alrolla@cima.fcen.uba.ar 
506 |2 openaire  |e Política editorial 
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504 |a Ar-2CN, Segunda Comunicación Nacional de Cambio Climático (2006), http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/natc/argnc2s.pdf; Baethgen, W.E., Magrin, G.O., Assessing the impacts of climate change on winter crop production in Uruguay and Argentina using crop simulation models (1995) Climate Change and Agriculture: Analysis of Potential International Impacts, 59, pp. 207-228. , C. Rosenzweig American Society of Agronomy Special Publication Madison WI 
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504 |a Jones, C.A., Kiniry, J.R., CERES-Maize: A Simulation Model of Maize. Growth and Development (1986), Texas A & M University Press College Station, Texas; Jones, J.W., Hoogenboom, G., Porter, C.H., Boote, K.J., Batchelor, W.D., Hunt, L.A., Wilkens, P.W., Ritchie, J.T., DSSAT cropping system model (2003) Eur. J. Agron., 18, pp. 235-265 
504 |a Kimball, B.A., Kobayasi, K., Bindi, M., Response CO2 enrichment (2003) Adv. Agron., 77, pp. 293-368 
504 |a Magrin, G.O., Díaz, R.A., Travasso, M.I., Rodriguez, G., Boullón, D., Nuñez, M., Solman, S., Vulnerabilidad y Mitigación relacionada con el Impacto del Cambio Global sobre la Producción Agrícola (1998) En Proyecto de Estudio sobre el Cambio Climático en Argentina, proyecto ARG/95/G/31-PNUD-SECYT, , http://www2.medioambiente.gov.ar/documentos/acuerdos/convenciones/unfccc/Agricultura.pdf, V. Barros J.A. Hoffmann W.M. Vargas 290 p. (In Spanish) 
504 |a Magrin, G.O., Grondona, M.O., Travasso, M.I., Boullón, D.R., Rodríguez, G.R., (1999), pp. 65-66. , Messina, C.D. ENSO impacts on crop production in the Argentina's Pampas Region. Proc. 10th Symposium on Global Change Studies, 10–15 Jan. 1999, Dallas, TX, by the AMS, Boston, MA; Magrin, G.O., Travasso, M.I., Rodríguez, G.R., Changes in climate and crop production during the 20th century in Argentina (2005) Clim. Chang., 72, pp. 229-249 
504 |a Magrin, G.O., Travasso, M.I., López, G.M., Rodríguez, G.R., Lloveras, A.R., Vulnerabilidad de la Producción Agrícola en la Región Pampeana Argentina (2007) Componente B3 de la Segunda Comunicación Nacional de Cambio Climático, , http://climayagua.inta.gob.ar/impactos_del_cambio_climatico_en_la_produccion_agricola_de_la_region_pampeana, (86pp.) 
504 |a Magrin, G.O., Travasso, M.I., Rodríguez, G.R., Solman, S., Nuñez, M., Global warming and wheat production in Argentina (2009) Int. J. Global Warming, 1, pp. 214-226 
504 |a Meira, S., Guevara, E., Application of SOYGRO model in Argentina (1995) Second International Symposium on Systems Approaches for Agricultural Development (SAAD2), , Los Baños - IRRI Filipinas 
504 |a Nuñez, M.N., Ciappesoni, H.H., Rolla, A., Kalnay, E., Cai, M., Impact of land-use and precipitation changes on surface temperature trends in Argentina (2008) J. Geophys. Res., 113 
504 |a Ritchie, J.T., Otter, S., Description and performance of CERES-Wheat: a user-oriented wheat yield model (1985) ARS Wheat Yield Project. ARS-38, pp. 159-175. , Natl Tech. Info. Serv. Springfield, Missouri 
504 |a Roel, A., Baethgen, W.E., Towards the Development of a Spatial Decision Support System (SDSS) for the application of climate forecasts in Uruguayan rice production sector (2007) Climate Prediction and Agriculture Advances and Challenges, pp. 89-97. , M. Sivakumar J. Hansen Springer Berlin Heidelberg 
504 |a Rolla, A., Guevara, E., Meira, S., CASANDRA: web based platform to assess impacts and define adaption strategies to climate change (2016), http://www.agmip.org/6th-agmip-global-workshop/; Savin, R., Satorre, E.H., Hall, A.J., Slafer, G.A., Assessing strategies for wheat cropping in the monsoonal climate of the Pampas using the CERES-Wheat simulation-model (1995) Field Crops Res., 42 (2-3), pp. 81-91 
504 |a Stöckle, C.O., Donatelli, M., Nelson, R., CropSyst, a cropping systems simulation model (2003) Eur. J. Agronomy, 18, pp. 289-307 
504 |a Travasso, M.I., Magrin, G.O., Utility of CERES-Barley under Argentine conditions (1998) Field Crops Res., 57 (3), pp. 325-329 
504 |a Travasso, M.I., Magrin, G.O., Testing crop models at the field level in Argentina (2001) Proc. 2nd International Symposium “Modelling Cropping Systems”. July 16–18 2001. Florence, Italy, pp. 89-90 
504 |a Travasso, M.I., Magrin, G.O., Baethgen, W.E., Castaño, J.P., Rodriguez, G.R., Pires, J.L., Gimenez, A., Fernandes, M., Adaptation Measures for Maize and Soybean in Southeastern South America (2006), AIACC Working Paper No. 28; UNFCCC Secretariat, Compendium on methods and tools to evaluate impacts of, and vulnerability and adaptation to, climate change (2005); Viglizzo, E.F., Létora, F., Pordomingo, A.J., Bernardos, J.N., Roberto, Z.E., Del Valle, H., Ecological lessons and applications from one Century of low external-input farming in the pampas of Argentina (2001) Agric. Ecosys. Environ., 83, pp. 64-81 
520 3 |a The Pampas is among the major agricultural regions in the world; a large proportion of Argentina crop production is originated in this region. The exportation of grain and oil crop represents more than 40% of the total national exportations. Impact of future climate on wheat, maize and soybean yield and crop adaptation in the Pampas region (60 million hectares) are assessed using climatic inputs generated by CCSM4 climate model (National Center for Atmospheric Research, US). Projections show an increase in the seasonal means maximum and minimum temperature for both the near (2015–2039) and the far (2075–2099) future, as well as a seasonal annual precipitation increase in the near future and a significant increase in the far future with extreme emissions scenarios. In the near future the crop model projects a reduction in wheat yield, an increase in maize yield and a significant increment in soybean yield compared to the regional baseline for moderate (RCP4.5) and extreme (RCP8.5) emissions. In the far future the projection shows a decrease in wheat yield in the RCP4.5 scenario and an increase in the RCP8.5 scenario, maize and soybean shown a yield increase in both scenarios. Adaptation strategies for the near and far future are proposed for wheat and maize that result in up to 45% yield increases. Adaptation strategies are not proposed for soybean because yield increases were predicted in all scenarios and horizons. © 2017 Elsevier Ltd  |l eng 
593 |a CIMA (CONICET – UBA), Argentina 
593 |a UMI IFAECI, CNRS, CONICET, UBA, Argentina 
593 |a DCAO, FCEN, UBA, Argentina 
593 |a INTA, Argentina 
690 1 0 |a ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT 
690 1 0 |a AGRICULTURAL MANAGEMENT 
690 1 0 |a CLIMATE EFFECT 
690 1 0 |a CROP PRODUCTION 
690 1 0 |a CROP YIELD 
690 1 0 |a HIGH TEMPERATURE 
690 1 0 |a LOW TEMPERATURE 
690 1 0 |a MAIZE 
690 1 0 |a SOYBEAN 
690 1 0 |a STRATEGIC APPROACH 
690 1 0 |a WHEAT 
690 1 0 |a PAMPAS 
690 1 0 |a GLYCINE MAX 
690 1 0 |a TRITICUM AESTIVUM 
690 1 0 |a ZEA MAYS 
651 4 |a ARGENTINA 
700 1 |a Nuñez, M.N. 
700 1 |a Guevara, E.R. 
700 1 |a Meira, S.G. 
700 1 |a Rodriguez, G.R. 
700 1 |a Ortiz de Zárate, M.I. 
773 0 |d Elsevier Ltd, 2018  |g v. 160  |h pp. 44-59  |p Agric. Syst.  |x 0308521X  |w (AR-BaUEN)CENRE-3603  |t Agricultural Systems 
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