Climate change and wheat production in Argentina

The aim of this work is to assess the impact of past and future climate changes on wheat productivity in the Pampas region of Argentina. The study was based on long-term climatic and crop productivity data, regional climatic scenarios and a crop simulation model. Our results demonstrate that the pot...

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Autor principal: Magrin, G.O
Otros Autores: Travasso, M.I, Rodriguez, G.R, Solman, S., Nuñez, M.
Formato: Capítulo de libro
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2009
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024 7 |2 scopus  |a 2-s2.0-84858017404 
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100 1 |a Magrin, G.O. 
245 1 0 |a Climate change and wheat production in Argentina 
260 |c 2009 
270 1 0 |m Magrin, G.O.; INTA-CIRN, Los Reseros y Las Cabanas, 1712 Castelar, Argentina 
506 |2 openaire  |e Política editorial 
504 |a Ainsworth, E.A., Long, S.P., What have we learned from 15 years of free-air CO2enrichment (FACE)? A meta-analytic review of the responses of photosynthesis, canopy properties and plant production to rising CO2 (2005) New Phytologist, 165, pp. 351-372 
504 |a Anwar, M.R., O’Leary, G., McNeil, D., Hossain, H., Nelson, R., Climate change impact on rainfed wheat in south-eastern Australia (2007) Field Crops Research, 104, pp. 139-147 
504 |a Barros, V., Castañeda, E., Doyle, M., Precipitation trends in Southern South America, east of the Andes: an indication of climate variability. Southern hemisphere (2000) Paleo- and Neoclimates: Key Sites, Methods, Data, and Models, pp. 187-208. , New York: Springer 
504 |a Easterling, W., Apps, M., Assessing the consequences of climate change for food and forest resources: a view from the IPCC (2005) Climatic Change, 70, pp. 165-189 
504 |a Easterling, W.E., Aggarwal, P.K., Batima, P., Brander, K.M., Erda, L., Howden, S.M., Kirilenko, A., Food, fibre and forest products (2007) Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, pp. 273-313. , M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden and C.E. Hanson (Eds.) Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press 
504 |a Fischer, G., Shah, M., Tubiello, F.N., van Velhuizen, H., Socio-economic and climate change impacts on agriculture: an integrated assessment, 1990–2080 (2005) Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B, 360, pp. 2067-2083. , doi:10.1098/rstb.2005.1744 
504 |a Goudriaan, J., Unsworth, M.H., Implications of increasing carbon dioxide and climate change for agricultural productivity and water resources (1990) Impact of Carbon Dioxide, Trace Gases, and Climate Change on Global Agriculture, pp. 111-130. , B.A. Kimball, N.J. Rosenberg and L.H. Allen (Eds.) Special Publication N53, American Society of Agronomy, Madison, Wisconsin 
504 |a Hoogenboom, G., Jones, J.W., Porter, C.H., Wilkens, P.W., Boote, K.J., Batchelor, W.D., Hunt, L.A., Tsuji, G.Y., (2003) Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer Version 4.0., , (Eds.) University of Hawaii, Honolulu, Hawaii 
504 |a IPCC, (2001) Climate Change 2001: Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, , Cambridge University Press 
504 |a IPCC, Summary for policymakers (2007) Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, , S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (Eds.) Cambridge, UK/New York, NY: Cambridge University Press 
504 |a Kimball, B.A., Kobayashi, K., Bindi, M., Responses of agricultural crops to free-air CO2 enrichment (2002) Adv. Agron., 77, pp. 293-368 
504 |a Lobell, D.B., Ortiz-Monasterio, J.I., Asner, G.P., Matson, P.A., Naylor, R.L., Falcon, W.P., Analysis of wheat yield and climatic trends in Mexico (2005) Field Crops Research, 94, pp. 250-256 
504 |a Long, S.P., Ainsworth, E.A., Leakey, A.D.B., Morgan, P.B., Global food insecurity. Treatment of major food crops with elevated carbon dioxide or ozone under large-scale fully open-air conditions suggests recent models may have overestimated future yields (2005) Phil. Trans.R. Soc. B, 360, pp. 2011-2020. , doi:10.1098/rstb.2005.1749 
504 |a Magrin, G.O., Hall, A.J., Baldy, C.H., Grondona, M.O., Spatial and interannual variations in the photothermal quotient: implications for the potential kernel number of wheat crops in Argentina (1993) Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 67, pp. 29-41 
504 |a Magrin, G.O., Travasso, M.I., An integrated climate change assessment from Argentina (2002) Effects of Climate Change and Variability on Agricultural Production Systems, pp. 193-219. , Chap. 10 O. Doering III, J.C. Randolph, J. Southworth and R.A. Pfeifer (Eds.) Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers 
504 |a Magrin, G.O., Travasso, M.I., Rodriguez, G.R., Changes in climate and crop production during the 20th century in Argentina (2005) Climatic Change, 72, pp. 229-249 
504 |a Nuñez, M., Solman, S., Cabré, S., Regional climate change experiments over southern South America. II: climate change scenarios in the late twenty first century (2008) Climate Dynamics, , DOI: 10.1007/s00382-008-0449-8 
504 |a Pope, V.D., Gallani, M.L., Rowntree, P.R., Stratton, R.A., The impact of new physical parameterizations in the Hadley Centre climate model (2000) Clim. Dyn, 16, pp. 123-146 
504 |a Porter, J.R., Gawith, M., Temperatures and the growth and development of wheat: a review (1999) Eur. J. Agron., 10, pp. 23-36 
504 |a Porter, J.R., Semenov, M.A., Crop responses to climatic variation (2005) Philos.T. Royal Soc. B., 360, pp. 2021-2035 
504 |a Solman, S., Nuñez, M., Cabré, M.F., Regional climate change experiments over southern South America. I: present climate (2007) Climate Dynamics, 30, pp. 533-552 
504 |a Tubiello, F.N., Amthor, J.S., Boote, K.J., Donatelli, M., Easterling, W., Fischer, G., Gifford, R.M., Rosenzweig, C., Crop response to elevated CO2 and world food supply: a comment on “Food for Thought…” by Long et al. (2007) Science, 312, pp. 1918-1921. , (2006) Europ. J. Agronomy, Vol. 26, pp.215–223 
504 |a Tubiello, F.N., Soussana, J.F., Howden, S.M., Crop and pasture response to climate change (2007) PNAS, 104, pp. 19686-19690 
504 |a Wall, G.W., Garcia, R.L., Kimball, B.A., Hunsaker, D.J., Pinter, P.J., Jr., Long, S.P., Osborne, C.P., Interactive effects of elevated carbon dioxide and drought on wheat (2006) Agron J, 98, pp. 354-381 
504 |a Wheeler, T.R., Craufurd, P.Q., Ellis, R.H., Porter, J.R., Prasad, P.V., Temperature variability and the yield of annual crops (2000) Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 82, pp. 159-167 
520 3 |a The aim of this work is to assess the impact of past and future climate changes on wheat productivity in the Pampas region of Argentina. The study was based on long-term climatic and crop productivity data, regional climatic scenarios and a crop simulation model. Our results demonstrate that the potential wheat yield has been declining at increasing rates since 1930 mainly due to minimum temperature increases. Further increases in temperature could lead to potential wheat yield reductions of 7.5% for each °C of temperature rise. If the expected effects of CO2 really do occur, the decline of the potential wheat yields due to temperatures that are 2.5°C warmer could be entirely offset by a CO2 concentration of 550 ppm. If the CO2 effects are not considered, rainfed wheat yields could be reduced by 4% by the end of the 21st century (2080), the northern part of the Pampas region being the most affected zone. Inversely, if the CO2 effects are considered, rainfed wheat yield could increase by 14%. Advancing planting dates could be a good strategy to take advantage of new environmental conditions with prolonged frost-free periods. © 2009 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.  |l eng 
593 |a INTA-CIRN, Los Reseros y Las Cabanas, 1712 Castelar, Argentina 
593 |a CIMA, UBA, C. Universitaria, Pab. II, P.2, 1428 Bs As, Argentina 
651 4 |a ARGENTINA 
690 1 0 |a CLIMATE CHANGE 
690 1 0 |a GLOBAL WARMING 
690 1 0 |a WHEAT 
700 1 |a Travasso, M.I. 
700 1 |a Rodriguez, G.R. 
700 1 |a Solman, S. 
700 1 |a Nuñez, M. 
773 0 |d 2009  |g v. 1  |h pp. 214-226  |k n. 1-3  |p Int. J. Global Warming  |x 17582083  |t International Journal of Global Warming 
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856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1504/IJGW.2009.02709  |y DOI 
856 4 0 |u https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12110/paper_17582083_v1_n1-3_p214_Magrin  |y Handle 
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