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01803cam a2200265Ia 4500 |
| 001 |
990000523530204151 |
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20241030112424.0 |
| 008 |
080617s2007 enka b 001 0 eng d |
| 020 |
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|a 9780141034591 (pbk.)
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|a 0141034599 (pbk.)
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| 035 |
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|a (OCoLC)000052353
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| 035 |
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|a (udesa)000052353USA01
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| 035 |
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|a (OCoLC)232175733
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| 035 |
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|a (OCoLC)990000523530204151
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|a Nz
|c NZHSD
|d U@S
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|a U@SA
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0 |
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|a Q375
|b .T35 2007
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| 100 |
1 |
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|a Taleb, Nassim Nicholas,
|d 1960-
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| 245 |
1 |
4 |
|a The black swan :
|b the impact of the highly improbable /
|c Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
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| 260 |
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|a London :
|b Penguin,
|c c2007.
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| 300 |
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|a xxviii, 366 p. :
|b ill. ;
|c 25 cm.
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| 504 |
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|a Includes bibliographical references (p. [331]-358) and index.
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| 505 |
0 |
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|a Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony -- The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans.
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| 650 |
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|a Uncertainty (Information theory)
|x Social aspects.
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| 650 |
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|a Forecasting.
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