The price (and costs) of macroeconomic stability in Peru: Some lessons on the implications of FDI-driven growth
In the period 2000-2019, Peru enjoyed sustained GDP growth and a long period of macroeconomic stability; as a result, poverty was reduced markedly in comparison to the 1980s and early 1990s, when the country faced severe recessions and hyperinflation. This positive economic performance coincided wit...
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| Formato: | Artículo publishedVersion |
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John Wiley & Sons Ltd
2023
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| Acceso en línea: | https://nulan.mdp.edu.ar/id/eprint/4078/ https://nulan.mdp.edu.ar/id/eprint/4078/1/bibi-valdecantos-2023.pdf |
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I29-R135-40782024-04-30T13:16:56Z The price (and costs) of macroeconomic stability in Peru: Some lessons on the implications of FDI-driven growth Bibi, Samuele Valdecantos, Sebastián In the period 2000-2019, Peru enjoyed sustained GDP growth and a long period of macroeconomic stability; as a result, poverty was reduced markedly in comparison to the 1980s and early 1990s, when the country faced severe recessions and hyperinflation. This positive economic performance coincided with the implementation of a mainstream macroeconomic framework which, alongside favourable external conditions, allowed for continuous external financing of current account deficits, mainly through foreign direct investment (FDI). Against the background of current debates regarding the resurgence of debt crises and the advocacy of FDI as a way to avoid such crises, this article uses balance of payments and international investment position statistics to assess whether Peru's acquired macroeconomic stability can be deemed sustainable. Drawing on the contributions of the Latin American structuralist school and more recent analyses that have raised concerns, the article shows that Peru's external position has taken on a Ponzi profile, casting doubt on the idea that FDI is a superior way of external financing compared to external debt. It concludes with a discussion of the social and environmental implications of Peru's widely praised macroeconomic framework, highlighting the limits that peripheral economies face when their growth relies excessively on external financing. John Wiley & Sons Ltd 2023-09-24 https://nulan.mdp.edu.ar/id/eprint/4078/ application/pdf eng https://nulan.mdp.edu.ar/id/eprint/4078/1/bibi-valdecantos-2023.pdf Development and Change, 54(5), 1136-1168. ISSN 1467-7660. 10.1111/dech.12793 <https://doi.org/10.1111/dech.12793> Perú info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1111/dech.12793 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Fil: Bibi, Samuele. Northumbria University Business School, Newcastle; United Kingdom. Fil: Valdecantos, Sebastián. Aalborg University Business School; Denmark. Macroeconomía Estabilidad Económica Inversiones Extranjeras info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.es |
| institution |
Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata (UNMdP) |
| institution_str |
I-29 |
| repository_str |
R-135 |
| collection |
Nulan - Fac.Cs.Económicas (UNMdP) |
| language |
Inglés |
| orig_language_str_mv |
eng |
| topic |
Macroeconomía Estabilidad Económica Inversiones Extranjeras |
| spellingShingle |
Macroeconomía Estabilidad Económica Inversiones Extranjeras Bibi, Samuele Valdecantos, Sebastián The price (and costs) of macroeconomic stability in Peru: Some lessons on the implications of FDI-driven growth |
| topic_facet |
Macroeconomía Estabilidad Económica Inversiones Extranjeras |
| description |
In the period 2000-2019, Peru enjoyed sustained GDP growth and a long period of macroeconomic stability; as a result, poverty was reduced markedly in comparison to the 1980s and early 1990s, when the country faced severe recessions and hyperinflation. This positive economic performance coincided with the implementation of a mainstream macroeconomic framework which, alongside favourable external conditions, allowed for continuous external financing of current account deficits, mainly through foreign direct investment (FDI). Against the background of current debates regarding the resurgence of debt crises and the advocacy of FDI as a way to avoid such crises, this article uses balance of payments and international investment position statistics to assess whether Peru's acquired macroeconomic stability can be deemed sustainable. Drawing on the contributions of the Latin American structuralist school and more recent analyses that have raised concerns, the article shows that Peru's external position has taken on a Ponzi profile, casting doubt on the idea that FDI is a superior way of external financing compared to external debt. It concludes with a discussion of the social and environmental implications of Peru's widely praised macroeconomic framework, highlighting the limits that peripheral economies face when their growth relies excessively on external financing. |
| format |
Artículo Artículo publishedVersion |
| author |
Bibi, Samuele Valdecantos, Sebastián |
| author_facet |
Bibi, Samuele Valdecantos, Sebastián |
| author_sort |
Bibi, Samuele |
| title |
The price (and costs) of macroeconomic stability in Peru: Some lessons on the implications of FDI-driven growth |
| title_short |
The price (and costs) of macroeconomic stability in Peru: Some lessons on the implications of FDI-driven growth |
| title_full |
The price (and costs) of macroeconomic stability in Peru: Some lessons on the implications of FDI-driven growth |
| title_fullStr |
The price (and costs) of macroeconomic stability in Peru: Some lessons on the implications of FDI-driven growth |
| title_full_unstemmed |
The price (and costs) of macroeconomic stability in Peru: Some lessons on the implications of FDI-driven growth |
| title_sort |
price (and costs) of macroeconomic stability in peru: some lessons on the implications of fdi-driven growth |
| publisher |
John Wiley & Sons Ltd |
| publishDate |
2023 |
| url |
https://nulan.mdp.edu.ar/id/eprint/4078/ https://nulan.mdp.edu.ar/id/eprint/4078/1/bibi-valdecantos-2023.pdf |
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