The effect of capital flows composition on output volatility
By distinguishing between foreign direct investment (FDI) and portfolio and other investments (OTR), we study the effects of the composition of capital inflows on output volatility. We develop a simple empirical model which, under certain conditions satisfied in the data, yields three key testable i...
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| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Articulo |
| Lenguaje: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
2018
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | http://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/handle/10915/71841 https://revistas.unlp.edu.ar/Economica/article/view/6109 |
| Aporte de: |
| Sumario: | By distinguishing between foreign direct investment (FDI) and portfolio and other investments (OTR), we study the effects of the composition of capital inflows on output volatility. We develop a simple empirical model which, under certain conditions satisfied in the data, yields three key testable implications.
First, output volatility should depend positively on FDI and OTR volatility.
Second, output volatility should be an increasing function of the correlation between FDI and OTR. Third, for low values of the FDI share, output volatility should be a decreasing function of the share of FDI in total capital inflows. We find strong support in the data for all three implications, even after controlling for other factors that may influence output volatility and dealing with potential endogeneity problems. |
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