Climate risk and food availability in Guatemala

In this paper, we use a computable general equilibrium model to simulate the effects of drought and a decrease in agricultural productivity caused by climate change in Guatemala. A reduction in agricultural productivity would mean a considerable drop in crop and livestock production, and the resulti...

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Autores principales: Vargas, Renato, Cabrera, Maynor, Cicowiez, Martín, Escobar, Pamela, Hernández, Violeta, Cabrera, Javier, Guzmán, Vivian
Formato: Articulo
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: 2018
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Acceso en línea:http://sedici.unlp.edu.ar/handle/10915/134307
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Sumario:In this paper, we use a computable general equilibrium model to simulate the effects of drought and a decrease in agricultural productivity caused by climate change in Guatemala. A reduction in agricultural productivity would mean a considerable drop in crop and livestock production, and the resulting higher prices and lower household income would mean a significant reduction in the consumption of agricultural goods and food. The most negative effects of a drought would be concentrated in agriculture, given its intensive use of water. Because agricultural production is essential to ensuring food availability, these results suggest that Guatemala needs a proper water-distribution regulatory framework.