Scenes for Mexico Election 2006: the Game of Simon

From the approach of the rational election, this work analyzes the role polls play in the electoral processes: from the theoretical plane, it finds that the repeated polling cycles will tend to take the voters to a “Duvergian equilibrium”, guiding them to coordinate themselves from their initial bel...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: de la Peña, Ricardo; Consejo de Investigadores de la Opinión Pública, A.C.
Lenguaje:Español
Publicado: Facultad de Ciencias Políticas y Sociales 2013
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Acceso en línea:http://www.revistas.unam.mx/index.php/rmop/article/view/42029
http://biblioteca.clacso.edu.ar/gsdl/cgi-bin/library.cgi?a=d&c=mx/mx-047&d=article42029oai
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Sumario:From the approach of the rational election, this work analyzes the role polls play in the electoral processes: from the theoretical plane, it finds that the repeated polling cycles will tend to take the voters to a “Duvergian equilibrium”, guiding them to coordinate themselves from their initial beliefs; with empirical evidence, it shows how this effect occurs indeed during the process of Mexican presidential election 2000 and suggests possible scenes for the dispute of the federal Executive in 2006.