The Crisis, Automatic Stabilisation, and the Stability Pact

This paper develops a comprehensive description of recent trends on the effectiveness of automatic stabilisers in the European Union, using both macro evidence on the cyclical sensitivity of budget deficits to economic activity and micro evidence on the tax and expenditure profi les. We conclude tha...

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Autores principales: Creel, Jérome, Saraceno, Francesco
Formato: Artículo revista
Lenguaje:Inglés
Publicado: Instituto de Economía y Finanzas. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas. Universidada Nacional de Córdoba. 2010
Materias:
E6
H2
H3
H6
Acceso en línea:https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/REyE/article/view/3871
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Sumario:This paper develops a comprehensive description of recent trends on the effectiveness of automatic stabilisers in the European Union, using both macro evidence on the cyclical sensitivity of budget deficits to economic activity and micro evidence on the tax and expenditure profi les. We conclude that there is increasing evidence of the declining importance of the automatic stabilisation. This points to a fundamental contradiction in the European Stability and Growth Pact, that relies almost exclusively on automatic stabilisation for the conduct of fi scal policy, We also argue, on the basis of past experience, that further increasing market fl exibility does not seem a viable path to reduce aggregate fluctuations. The paper concludes by highlighting the complex relation between discretionary policies and automatic stabilisation.